Are American AAdvantage Miles Slowly & Steadily Losing Value?

For years, American AAdvantage miles have been the gold standard among mileage currencies at the “big three” US carriers.

American deserves huge credit for its AAdvantage program, and I’d argue it’s one of the main areas where the airline has a competitive advantage over Delta and United. For that matter, I think AAdvantage leadership has generally done a good job trying to preserve the value of the program, to the best of their ability.

However, as time has gone on, I can’t help but feel like AAdvantage miles have become less valuable, and it’s arguably not even the carrier’s fault. I’d like to talk a bit about that trend, and also discuss what’s perhaps the new sweet spot of redemptions.

The American AAdvantage partner award availability problem

American AAdvantage continues to deserve credit for publishing an award chart for travel on partner airlines, and for offering excellent redemption rates for first and business class travel on partner airlines on long haul flights.

The issue is, American’s partner airlines keep restricting award availability, and it makes it increasingly difficult to actually extract value. Let me be clear, this is in no way American’s fault, as the airline doesn’t have control over the award availability that other airlines release, though it definitely does impact the value of miles:

  • Qatar Airways used to release a ton of business class award space to partner programs, but that has changed massively over the years; at this point most availability is limited to Privilege Club members, and even there the number of award seats is limited
  • Etihad Airways first class and business class awards have equally been restricted, and at this point you can at best hope for award seats at the last minute
  • Cathay Pacific first class and business class awards on long haul flights through partner programs are virtually non-existent nowadays
  • Japan Airlines first class and business class awards through partner programs are like winning the lottery nowadays, and actually finding long haul award space to and from the United States isn’t easy

What I struggle with is that if you can actually find award availability, the redemption values are incredible. The question is just how useful the availability actually is. Like, want to fly from Abu Dhabi to Tokyo tonight in Etihad’s A380 first class? It’s available for 50,000 miles. That’s basically a gift… if that route is at all useful to you.

Etihad first class award with AAdvantage miles

Want to fly from Bangkok to Tokyo in a couple of days in Japan Airlines’ 777 first class? That’s available for 40,000 miles, which is an incredible deal.

Japan Airlines first class award with AAdvantage miles

But again, it gets at redemptions that are aspirational because of the products, vs. ones that are actually useful in getting members to and from where they need to go.

What about other partner award redemptions? Yes, there’s a fair bit of British Airways award space, but that comes with huge carrier imposed surcharges. You’ll also find a smattering of award seats on carriers like Aer Lingus, Finnair, Iberia, Royal Air Maroc, Royal Jordanian, etc., but again, availability to and from the United States often leaves a lot to be desired.

The point is that virtually every one of the redemptions that has historically made AAdvantage miles so valuable has gone from something that’s relatively attainable, to something that’s more like winning a lottery. Again, none of this is American’s fault — it all just reflects the changing industry dynamics, and the way airlines have changed how they release award space.

Historically I’ve valued AAdvantage miles at 1.5 cents each, though I am wondering if it might be time to adjust that down slightly, to reflect all these updates?

Sweet spot redemptions are becoming harder to come by

AAdvantage now shines for redemptions on American metal

It’s not as shiny or glamorous as long haul premium cabin awards, but AAdvantage deserves credit for having reasonably priced award tickets for travel on American metal. This is particularly true domestically and for short haul international flights, but also for long haul international flights. As I see it:

  • On balance, American has better domestic economy and first class award pricing than Delta and United
  • Even when there’s not saver award availability, American’s dynamic award pricing on long haul flights tends to be more attractive than that of Delta and United, on average

The issue is twofold:

  • When American does have saver award space, you’ll still typically get better value redeeming Alaska Atmos Rewards points; American has started cutting off partner award space six days before departure, which limits the usefulness of this for last minute tickets
  • American’s actual long haul route network is quite limited, so that’s useful if you want to travel to Seoul, Shanghai, or Tokyo (for example), but this is where American’s huge long haul network gap compared to carriers like United is really felt

In a separate post, I covered how MileagePlus miles are becoming more valuable, simply for redemptions on United metal, given how that space has otherwise been restricted. But the key advantage that United has over American is its network, as it’s so much more global. Of course if you’re redeeming to El Paso or Grand Cayman or Lima, it’s a different story. But if you’re trying to get to Cape Town, or Nice, or Tahiti, or Singapore, there’s a pretty obvious winner.

AAdvantage often has good award pricing on American metal

Bottom line

American AAdvantage is in my opinion the best of the “big three” frequent flyer programs, and I’m a fan of the value offered. I think AAdvantage leadership is doing a good job on balance doing what they can to make the program rewarding and lucrative.

Historically, the great value with AAdvantage miles has been the attractive redemption rates for travel on partner airlines. However, the general industry trend is that we’re increasingly seeing airlines limit partner award availability, and I’d argue that has hit AAdvantage especially hard.

Want to fly out of the US in a premium cabin on Cathay Pacific, Etihad Airways, Japan Airlines, or Qatar Airways? Well, it at times almost feels like buying a lottery ticket, while back in the day, it wasn’t difficult at all.

With these changes, I’d argue that nowadays the best use of AAdvantage miles is for partner awards that don’t even touch the United States (where availability is often better), or otherwise for awards on American metal.

What do you make of this trend with AAdvantage miles, and how do you think their value has changed over the years?

Conversations (41)
The comments on this page have not been provided, reviewed, approved or otherwise endorsed by any advertiser, and it is not an advertiser's responsibility to ensure posts and/or questions are answered.
Comment as a member

Membership is free and takes no more information than commenting as a guest. Earn status points for good contributions, and see fewer ads as your status grows.

Type your response here.

If you'd like to participate in the discussion, please adhere to our commenting guidelines. Anyone can comment, and your email address will not be published. Register to save your unique username and earn special OMAAT reputation perks!

  1. Loading comments…
Recent Comments
The latest from the OMAAT community.

The comments on this page have not been provided, reviewed, approved or otherwise endorsed by any advertiser, and it is not an advertiser's responsibility to ensure posts and/or questions are answered.

KSM Guest

I want to offer a counterpoint to the other comments here (along with some datapoints). In the past 8 months, I’ve been able to book the following with AA miles: 2 J seats from LAX-HND on JAL A350 for 60k miles each (I realize I won the lottery here, but what a treat!) 2 PE seats from HND-LAX on AA metal for 50k miles each (J ended up coming down to 110k each but I didn’t bit the bullet. PE wasn’t great but it was tolerable) 2 J seats from LAX-CDG on Air Tahiti Nui for 57.5k miles each (terrible product, but at the end of the day a lie flat seat is a lie flat seat) 2 J/F seats from NCE-LAX (via PHL) on AA metal for 85k miles each (above the published award chart rate, but still way cheaper than DL or UA) On top of these flights, I’ve booked multiple Y fares from LAX to Asia and Europe at the published award chart rate. Finding premium cabin deals at award chart pricing (and without crazy fuel surcharges on BA/IB) is tough, but with a little bit of tenacity and luck you can get outsized value (especially compared to DL and UA).

0
‼ 0
DBB Gold

Definitely still finding value in spots. That being said, TATL has taken a nosedive in value. On AA metal (which, if one is at an AA hub is what pops up), J is 300-400k round trip, which is absurd. BA availability is okay, but those carrier added fees really kill the redemption value.

0
‼ 0
Gene Guest

@ Ben -- The simplest way for American to increase the value of its miles is to make redemptions on their metal eligible to earn Loyalty Points. Is American so desperate for cash that they can't reward customers for taking liability off the books for distressed inventory? Delta and United apparently find this useful, so how is American different? I suppose we will next be seeing a post about Delta SkyMiles becoming MORE valuable (they definitely are!). There should also be one about Atmos rewards becoming less valuable. After all, folks might be getting outsized value from 4.5k/9.0k single-segment, short haul AA awards, but that barely moves the needle on the average value. Most Atmos redemption prices that I see are absurdly high. Anyway, I hope this series of (two so far) posts is leading up to an entire refreshed valuation table from you!

0
‼ 0
Richard H Guest

I like to plan trips way out in advance. As I the day the schedule opens up. You used to be able to find tons of award space on long haul flights under 100K miles. Those days are long gone now occasionally you will see some cheaper ones a few months out, but buying in advance to get a deal is non existent not. That's where I am seeing it thr most

0
‼ 0
franklin Guest

Im so confused by this piece. The sweet spot is American metal? An award from Japan or Australia to the US is always minimumum 300k miles. To fly the worst business class on those routes. Another point this article misses is the devaluation of partner awards that happened by integrating new programs within the AA program. I used to be able to fly from the US to Fiji for fantastic prices on FJ. Now the price is....300k or more. This is very unfortunate, since reasonable award prices are/were the only thing giving AA any competitive advantage.

0
‼ 0

Save posts to read later

Saving posts is a member feature. Become an OMAAT member to build a reading list you can come back to from any device.

Become a member
Meet Ben Schlappig, OMAAT Founder
5,883,136 Miles Traveled

43,914,800 Words Written

47,187 Posts Published