LOT Polish Airlines Cancels Condor Takeover

LOT Polish Airlines’ takeover of Condor has been called off, meaning the German leisure carrier’s future is uncertain.

LOT Polish Airlines’ takeover of Condor

In January 2020 it was announced that Polish Aviation Group (PGL), the parent company of LOT, would be acquiring Condor Airlines. This came after Condor’s parent company, Thomas Cook, ceased operations.

The German government had given Condor a bridge loan to stay in business, since the airline had a sustainable business model but was just in the wrong place at the wrong time.

From the perspective of consumers, LOT’s takeover of Condor seemed like the best case scenario, when you consider that Lufthansa was the other frontrunner for a LOT takeover:

  • LOT planned on maintaining Condor’s base in Germany, which would have been a win for German consumers
  • If LOT had taken over Condor over Lufthansa, there would have actually been some competition in Germany

LOT was supposed to take over Condor

The deal is off, so now what?

According to Polish media, PGL has confirmed that LOT Polish Airlines has cancelled their transaction to take over Condor. The deal was initially supposed to close in April, and it looks like LOT was able to get out of it.

Obviously we’re in an unprecedented situation at the moment, so it’s not surprising that LOT would want to exercise whatever option they have to not take over an airline at the moment.

It’s not yet known what kind of a penalty was paid to get out of this deal, or what this means for the future of Condor.

This is really unfortunate for Condor, which is a great, niche airline. It’ll be interesting to see if Lufthansa now attempts a takeover, or if the current situation makes them reconsider.

What an unfortunate time to be a generally successful niche airline that currently doesn’t have investors — first they got stuck in the Thomas Cook fiasco, and now they’re dealing with the greatest crisis the airline industry has ever seen.

Will Lufthansa now attempt a Condor takeover?

Bottom line

I’m rooting for Condor, and all the jobs at stake. Ultimately if LOT could get out of the deal then I can’t blame them for not wanting to follow through with an airline acquisition at the moment.

Now we’ll have to see if Lufthansa tries to swoop in, or if this is too much for the German flag carrier to take on at the moment.

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Andy Diamond

No surprise. It’s not just the current crisis, it’s the business case which fell apart. Most forecasts are expecting essential duty travel to recover first, the short haul leisure and only at longer term long haul leisure and conferences. So Condors business is to recover last, unfortunately. Therefore, I don’t think LH (or IAG) will be willing to invest in such a non existent case ... In fact, I have some doubts that IAG will go ahead with their UX takeover. The business case is slightly better (UX was profitable), but the future looks grim as most is long haul leisure. Probably paying the 42m EUR penalty to the Hidalgo family will (unfortunately) be worthwhile ...

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Endre Guest

Please, Rob, we all know these are just face-saving excuses...

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Aaron Diamond

Thomas Cook Aviation, who were sort of a subsidiary for Condor, quietly shut down for good earlier this month. So, not good looking good for Condor overall these days.

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Peter Brown Guest

Condor is probably dead now. There will be a lot of airlines not around at the end of this year. Most things will be different when this virus is over

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Reed Guest

Isn’t it obvious at this point that mass leisure travel is basically done for the foreseeable future (at least 2-3 years), so there’s zero reason for any of these leisure airlines to exist? The entire commercial aviation industry is facing the largest contraction in its history, with no obvious path to full recovery. There’s no market for leisure airlines to exist now, and only state-supported or bailed out mainline airlines will really be functional after their year, serving critical business and government needs, with whatever leisure and personal travel that is possible (in a world of closed and restricted borders) simply filling a few seats in the back of the plane. Condor was a nice airline, I’ll miss their flight from Phoenix to Frankfurt (our only nonstop European service, other than London).

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