Wow: British Airways Suspends All Mainland China Flights

Airlines are increasingly taking precautions with the Wuhan coronavirus. First we saw airlines introduce travel waivers for flights to Wuhan, then we saw them introduce travel waivers for all flights to China, then we saw some airlines reduce capacity to China, and now one airline is taking it much further. I suspect other airlines will follow.

Governments now advise against all but essential travel to China

Yesterday the Centers For Disease Control and the UK Foreign & Commonwealth Office, among other authorities, advised against all but essential travel to China, given the development of the Wuhan coronavirus. This is a pretty serious warning.

British Airways suspends all flights to mainland China

With immediate effect, British Airways has canceled all flights to mainland China through the end of February 2020.

While we’ve already seen airlines reduce service to China in the past few days (just yesterday United updated their schedule to reflect reduced service to Beijing, Hong Kong, and Shanghai over the next week), a major international airline cutting service to mainland China for an entire month is drastic. I suspect British Airways is only the first of many airlines to do so.

The British Airways planes currently enroute to Beijing and Shanghai will operate their return flights, and that will be the end of mainland China flying for British Airways for now:

  • Those crews operating flights to Beijing and Shanghai will turn right around as passengers (talk about a long day!)
  • Those British Airways crews based in Beijing and Shanghai who are currently in London will have arrangements made to get them back home to China

This is a significant move on British Airways’ part. It’s one thing to reduce capacity due to a lack of demand, but it’s a whole different story to cancel service for an entire month for the safety of crews.

I suspect that British Airways won’t be alone in making this decision, and that other airlines will follow.

Not to be too cynical, but I do think this drastic decision may go beyond just safety, though that’s a convenient reason to give:

  • Many airlines bleed money on China flights in winter, and this current situation only makes it worse
  • British Airways is definitely erring on the side of caution with the crew safety argument, though at the same time I’m sure this is the right move financially as well

What do you make of British Airways- decision to suspend Beijing & Shanghai flights, and do you think some/most other airlines will follow their lead?

Given the latest information on the coronavirus situation, my thinking changed, and I ultimately canceled my flight through Beijing. For more on the rapidly-developing situation, check out these posts:

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Peter Guest

The cancellation of flights were due to a combination of factors. Once the government advised against all but essential travel the writing was on the wall for flights to mainland China (Virgin have now suspended flights too) A duty of care for the flight and cabin crew - many did not want to travel to China in the first instance and were naturally worried, Once in China - most shops and restaurants were closed. The hotels are closing restaurants and some places having food shortages - you can’t keep crews locked in a hotel without access to any food etc. Many aspects of public transport are closed down, the streets are deserted even in Shanghai and Beijing so it’s harder for crew to move around, so again restricted to just a hotel. The downtime has added bonuses of being able to assist with the 787 issues, and allow unscheduled pre summer maintenance which wasn’t in the plan originally.

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Eskimo Guest

@Lucky Not just UA and AA, but DL is also cutting China routes. Check your sources for any blanket ban coming up, I'm wondering about that too.

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The nice Paul Diamond

@Lucky The difference is surely that the U.K. government has advised against all but “essential” travel to anywhere in mainland China, whereas your own government hasn’t. Therefore BA now has specific legal obligations including for the health & safety of its own staff. Cancelling all flights for a few days until a clearer picture emerges seems eminently sensible, doesn’t it?

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Kendor Member

@The nice Paul What some of us are sneering about is people's mistaken impression that the flu pandemic is well in hand and completely managed -- zen calm -- while at the some time they are completely losing their minds with fear about the as-yet comparatively mild spread of coronavirus. Or the belief that because SARS was a coronavirus and Wuhan is a coronavirus, that Wuhan should be mentioned in the same breath as SARS (common cold is also often coronavirus.) Some of the reaction seems a combination of ignorance and latent racism. I'll hasten to add that you don't seem prone to that same degree of excess. My tendency is to look at the facts of what the disease is actually doing right now, and rely on that observation versus speculations about what might could happen once zombies start popping out of the ground. That all said Wuhan coronavirus is a threat of unknown dimensions, and if it can be contained, that's better than ending up with influenza 2.0. China and others are doing the right thing by trying to bottle it up and attack it with what science we have. I just think it is useful to keep the risks that we understand in perspective, and not completely lose our heads. As yet, Wuhan is a comparatively minor health threat versus ongoing pandemics in our midst.

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The nice Paul Diamond

@ Kendor “nor did she advise me to run around hysterically indulging paranoia, hysteria, and tinfoil conspiracy theories” I’m pretty sure neither Bill nor I have advised anyone to do that. Your point about not knowing the infection rate is of course true — just as we don’t know the actual infection rates for flu, colds, or pretty much anything else. So public health experts have developed ways of estimating. These are by definition estimates, and they may ultimately be way off base (the infectiousness of Ebola was strikingly over-estimated, as was the spread of AIDS), but they’re the best tools we have. The alternative — on display by sone commenters on here — is a faith-based response, usually sneering, always along the lines of “I don’t know anything but I’m sure it’s not as bad as anyone says”. Just like Brexiteers in my own country don’t *know* what will happen after Brexit, but are still absolutely certain they’re right. With stuff like the Coronavirus it seems to me a bit of short-term over-caution is a better response than gambling it’ll be ok (even if the latter is statistically more likely).

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