Fragile Hong Kong & Singapore Travel Bubble “Pops” Again

The travel bubble concept sounds great in theory, as it’s a way for people to travel quarantine-free between two areas that are low-risk for coronavirus. Unfortunately the reality is often a different story, as we’re seeing with Hong Kong & Singapore… again.

Travel bubble was supposed to launch in late 2020

Hong Kong & Singapore have both done quite a good job keeping coronavirus under control, and in the process have largely kept their borders closed.

In late 2020 they proposed the concept of a travel bubble between Hong Kong (HKG) & Singapore (SIN), whereby people would be able to take dedicated flights between the two airports without having to quarantine, though there were still extensive testing requirements.

The travel bubble was contingent upon neither place seeing a spike in coronavirus cases. Unfortunately at the time Hong Kong saw a (modest) spike, causing the travel bubble to be postponed just hours before launch.

I feel sorry for all the people who paid a bunch of money and probably already had their bags packed, only to have their trips canceled on them.

The travel bubble was postponed the first time around

Travel bubble postponed… again

A new travel bubble was supposed to launch between Hong Kong & Singapore as of May 26, 2021. Travel bubble flights had already gone on sale and sold out in no time.

Hong Kong & Singapore had both agreed that the travel bubble would be suspended if there were a rolling seven day average of more than five untraced cases in either place.

Well, Singapore is now up to a rolling seven day average of six untraced cases per day, meaning the travel bubble will be suspended before it even launches. As Singapore’s Ministry of Transport explains:

“Both sides remain strongly committed to launching the ATB safely. However, in light of the recent increase in unlinked community cases, Singapore is unable to meet the criteria to start the Singapore-Hong Kong ATB. Both sides, therefore, agreed to defer the launch of the ATB to protect the health of travelers and the public in these two places.”

Singapore is adding restrictions within the country to decrease the number of cases, but for now the travel bubble won’t be moving forward.

While I can totally appreciate the concept behind these travel bubbles, they sure are a challenge. On some level it seems to me like governments may be failing to manage expectations here, since this concept has been called off twice now. If the bubbles are so fragile, one has to wonder if they’re even worth having.

I’d ask if these destinations just end up opening on a widespread basis before any air travel bubble can work out, but it sure seems to me like Singapore doesn’t ever plan on fully reopening, based on the country’s new business travel concept.

One has to wonder if this travel bubble will ever launch

Bottom line

Unfortunately for those in Hong Kong & Singapore, it doesn’t seem like a travel bubble will be launching anytime soon. This concept has now been postponed twice prior to even launching, months apart. This was due to a modest increase in cases, the first time in Hong Kong, and now in Singapore.

Do you think a Hong Kong & Singapore travel bubble will ever launch?

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SQ Flyer Guest

@Philip Elliott Singapore is not actually in a lockdown (yet) – there are no movement restrictions for individuals apart from not being able to dine in at restaurants. Retail malls and shops remain open. What it has been attempting to do however, is contain the latest outbreak brought about by the more contagious/virulent Indian variant by means of increased restrictions. To your other point about the general sentiment on OMAAT towards the East Asian economies, it is after all a US-based travel blog. FREEDOM

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Andy Guest

It will be interesting to see how the "two worlds" will eventually get together. There is a group of countries, mainly in Asia, but also Australia and NZ, which follow a zero COVID strategy. On the other hand side, the Americas, Europe, the Middle East and Africa tolerate some levels of COVID, basically as long as the health system can cope. With the vaccinations, the numbers in the COVID tolerant countries will go down - but not to zero or anywhere close. So they remain way to high for the zero COVID countries. If they ban travel from no-zero countries, this is likely to last for a very long time, if not forever.

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MichaelB Guest

@ Philip Elliott I strongly believe Ben's job is not drive the community one way or another but just present information as reported. No political slant. We have enough websites that do that already. I would drop this site like a hot potato if I sensed any strong bias either way except to promote the love of travel and inform how best to optimize the use of points to travel in style as cost efficiently as possible. As others have pointed out, while Oceania/Pacific Rim countries have largely pursued a closed borders path other countries have not. And, while these same countries have largely been the envy of the world for their low/near zero Covid rates this strategy is not sustainable in the long term as Covid will remain at least in the background for a long time. The rest of us are moving on and I for one am very excited to start cross border travel again. As some have expressed the real challenge for these countries will be how to establish what level of risk is acceptable as a trade off for opening borders. That level can never be at or near zero if borders are to open.

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Malc Guest

@snic As a Kiwi, I find your characterisation of NZ quite accurate. They will consider opening up to vaccinated travellers but won't quite get round to it for a long, long time. I've always found the word "bubble" quite apt for NZ. Beneath the PC rhetoric, there's a lot of xenophobia and a wilful remoteness from the troubles of the rest of the world. I think your comment about NZ using Aus as an excuse for not opening up is very insightful.

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George Guest

Getting back to the travel bubble, Mike Bird had the best response - https://twitter.com/Birdyword/status/1393095927422881799?s=20

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