Airline Stocks Plummet Amid Coronavirus Fears

I enjoy dabbling in the stock market. I think the whole thing is kinda silly (I recognize that’s an oversimplification), but it’s easy enough to observe some macro trends and buy and sell based on that (if only Elon Musk’s insanity were easier to predict).

Everyone needs a hobby, and for me it’s more fun than going to the casino and playing blackjack.

Airline stocks down amid coronavirus fears

This doesn’t really come as a surprise, but it’s pretty noteworthy the extent to which airline stocks are taking a beating amid coronavirus fears, with one airline in particular reaching the lowest post-Chapter 11 stock price.

As of the time that I’m writing this post:

  • American stock is at $20.27, down over 9% today; on February 12 it was at $30.47
  • Delta stock is at $46.38, down over 6% today; on February 12 it was at $59.47
  • United stock is at $62.45, down over 6% today; on February 12 it was at $82.20

American stock hits post-bankruptcy low

As noted by @xJonNYC, American has been the hardest hit, and their stock has fallen by about a third in the past couple of weeks.

American’s stock is now at an all time low while trading under “AAL” — “AMR” (American’s old ticker symbol) was at this price in September 2013, when the company was still in bankruptcy protection, before the merger with US Airways.

American’s big drop in stock price is in spite of the fact that American has less exposure in Asia than United, for example. To me this points to American probably being the most vulnerable in the US market in the event that coronavirus spreads here.

Anyway, I’m certainly no expert on stocks (and I’m not suggesting anyone should buy or sell stocks, or trying to provide any sort of advice), so I’m purely sharing this because I’m always looking to buy when I think the price is right.

Personally I still don’t think we’ve seen the worst (because I don’t think the US is safe from coronavirus). But for those who think the worst is behind us and who like to buy airline stocks, the massive recent drops in stock prices are worth being aware of…

To those who invest in airline stocks — are you buying now, or do you think it’s getting worse?

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Simon Diamond

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-03/berkshire-boosts-delta-air-stake-by-45-million-amid-market-rout

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Andrew Diamond

Mark - if only we could buy them with united miles. Thanks to 'dynamic pricing', they have depreciated 50% in the past year.

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Stuart P Guest

@Gene..... your post , which hopefully was written as sarcasm , if not , then your 2nd sentence is scientifically totally uncertain and you are irresponsibly giving people false hope , and your last sentence about Trump is reason for people to evacuate the USA.

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Mark New Member

Can I buy AA stocks with my AAdvantage Miles or for once are my miles worth more than the airline stock?

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AlexS Diamond

@Larry: For now, this means practically nothing in terms of points/benefits to the average travel hacker. Going from past experiences, this thing should be wrapped up by June or so. Anyone remember Zika? Ebola? Avian Flu? Swine Flu? SARS? MEARS? Those have faded out of the consciousness of most people unless you're directly involved with NGOs in 3rd world countries. It does mean that you're going to see some awesome prices for airfare and hotels. We've already seen that with international airfares over the past two weeks. It's cheaper to fly around the world than domestic US now. I'm not sure if it's directly related to Corvid-19, but prices for hotels in Orlando have dropped rather dramatically over the past week, and I see signs that will continue. Oil prices are dropping, thus gas prices at the pump will be dropping shortly. We should be seeing sub-$2/gallon prices soon...except for Commiefornia, but they brought that upon themselves. Now...if this thing's still spreading in 12-18 months from now, which isn't likely, then you'll start to see circa-2009 benefits and points offers. I doubt we'll see airline loyalty programs reverting back to distance-only-based programs, but you'll see plenty of tweaks and carrots dangled to get travelers' butts in airline seats and hotel beds. Airlines are much more apt to lower prices than modify their loyalty programs, especially in the short term.

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