JetBlue Wants The DOT To Revoke Alaska’s Route To Cuba

US airlines are just in the process of launching flights to Cuba for the first time in decades. There are a limited number of available slots, so the Department of Transportation had to go through a selection process to award the routes.

This was done in stages. The airlines had to put in requests for the slots they wanted. First the DOT awarded slots for all Cuba flights not to Havana, since the number of requests didn’t exceed the number of available slots. After that the DOT granted the rights for Havana slots, which was a much trickier selection process, given that there was a lot more demand from airlines than available slots.

Here are the Havana routes that got selected:

Cuba-Flights

Personally I think this is all a bit of a craze, and aside from the Florida to Cuba routes, flights to Cuba are going to be a big money loser for airlines. The infrastructure simply isn’t there for the hundreds of thousands of additional visitors. While many people will want to visit initially, I don’t think the demand is there for thousands and thousands of seats a day. At least that’s not the case under current conditions, given how crazy expensive hotels are.

Anyway, perhaps the most puzzling route to Cuba is Alaska’s Los Angeles to Havana flight. Not only is it the longest route between the US and Cuba (which makes the economics tough), but there isn’t a big Cuban population in Los Angeles (or on the west coast at all, for that matter) to help make the route sustainable.

When American initially requested their routes to Havana they included a once weekly flight from Los Angeles to Havana, which seemed more in line with what I’d expect in terms of demand for the route.

Nonetheless Alaska was granted the right to fly daily between Los Angeles and Havana, and JetBlue is now petitioning the DOT to take the route away from Alaska, and instead grant JetBlue the right to fly between Boston and Havana.

Alaska-737

Why? Because Alaska has requested to delay the launch date of their flight from November 29 to January 5 so they have more time to market the flight. Per Skift:

Generally, though not always, carriers do not object to a delay request from a competitor. But JetBlue on Thursday raised objections, noting that no other U.S. carrier has sought an extension. The U.S. and Cuban governments will permit only 20 daily flights to Havana, and airlines competed vigorously to serve the city. JetBlue won the right to fly to Havana from Fort Lauderdale, New York JFK, and Orlando, but not Boston.

“Every U.S. carrier involved in the Cuba frequency proceeding began the task of starting scheduled Cuba service from the same starting point and faced an identical timeline,” JetBlue said in its objection. “No other carrier is claiming ‘operational’ and commercial challenges as a basis for significantly delaying their start date.”

Alaska spokesman Bobbie Egan said in an email that Alaska is confident the government will approve its request. “As noted in our motion for extension, we believe early January will be more conducive to a successful service launch,” she said. In its filing, Alaska said the holiday season would be a particularly tough time to launch a new Havana route, as most Americans travel for leisure in the period, and “vacation” is not one of the 12 government-sanctioned reasons to visit Cuba.

One of the conditions of applying for slots to Cuba was that flights had to begin within a certain timeframe, and Alaska wants an extension of that. On one hand it is indeed true that they’re unlikely to do well on the route in the month of December. On the other hand, it seems to me like they’re unlikely to do well on the route ever, so… 😉 Furthermore, as stated above, all airlines are facing the same conditions, so I don’t see why Alaska should be special.

So, what’s JetBlue’s motive here? I imagine it’s a combination of a few things:

  • While the airlines have historically not competed much, keep in mind that Alaska and JetBlue got in a bidding war over Virgin America, so I imagine there’s pride on the line
  • JetBlue knows Alaska will lose money on the route for the month of December (and perhaps beyond that), and they want to see Alaska lose money
  • Even if the DOT doesn’t take away Alaska’s authority, JetBlue would like backup authority for their Boston to Havana route, meaning that if Alaska delays the flight further or cancels it, JetBlue will be granted the authority

JetBlue-A321

Interesting stuff. This whole situation is very similar to when American and Hawaiian fought over Delta’s Tokyo Haneda slot, as Delta wasn’t fully utilizing it.

Anyone else think Alaska’s Los Angeles to Havana route is doomed to fail, no matter when it actually launches?

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Tonei Guest

I wonder if AA will continue their 1x weekly charter flight LAX-HAV or if AS will just absorb that traffic.

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Brian Guest

ANd lest we forget, regarding "both" the East Coast and West Coast, we also have a GULF Coast, including Houston, New Orleans, and Tampa, which adjoins the island Nation in question...

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Brian Guest

LA has double the number of Cubans as say Houston, but double the population the percentage is about equal, about 0.2 %, so both those cities have the LOWEST Cuban population demographics in the USA. (see https://www.google.com/search?q=ethnic+us+map+cuban+demographics&biw=1157&bih=918&tbm=isch&tbo=u&source=univ&sa=X&ved=0ahUKEwiI3paOzsnQAhUBUCYKHecsDk8Q7AkILg#tbm=isch&q=united+states+cuban+demographics&imgrc=4LXxMwruDaIXyM%3A) I don't see LAX as a viable point any more frequently than a weekly flight, at least for now, like IAH or DFW. ATL needs dailies because it is the biggest airport in the world, and because the main demographics to Cuba are on the East Coast/Florida. I really don't think the Asian markets make much of a dent in the argument, and besides, there are flights to IAH, DFW, ATL, ORD, and DTW to and from those markets. LAX is clear on the other side and far away from tapping the passenger load. Furthermore, LAX is a nightmare, and the people of LA have long deserved a MUCH better airport. I have gone through it, and to it, numerous times. It is so 1960's. No inter-terminal trains in the secure area that I could find. You can walk 6 light years between terminals, take a cab like Manila's Ninoy Aquino, or take a shuttle bus and perhaps deal with traffic again. Traffic is so horrendous that it's full of frightful wondering if you will even make it, even if you get within 300 yards of the Century Blvd entrance 3 hours ahead. Once in, you have to maneuver around the perpetual decades long construction project (see http://www.lawa.org/welcome_lax.aspx?id=1878 and it is still going), unfinished drywall and plywood, even in the Tom Bradley International Terminal. Having gone through that place I thought it an embarrassment to the name of our country's greatest and most beloved Mayors. Plywood corridors, hidden gates, I was sure my flight some years ago to Kuala Lumpur was at the other end, despite gate numbering. I love LA but this seems an unworkable and impractical decision based on bias I believe. Give it to another city on the East coast...BOS, PHL…etc.

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Joey Diamond

I visited Cuba last November flying on a Jetblue charter plane from Florida (ABC charters) and recall there being so many Chinese tourists! I mean a lot! In addition, there were several Canadians and Europeans as well. My point is there is already a tourist infrastructure present in Cuba, especially if you include casa particulares. As for hotels, yes I agree there is a shortage but to truly experience Havana I think an airbnb or casa particular stay is essential. I stayed in a casa particular and loved it; whereas my friends stayed in an airbnb and they loved that experience as well. Anyway, as for the LAX-HAV flight, I think people from Asia would prefer to have that one-stop in LAX and then a flight to HAV. Then again, Air China also has that flight from Canada right? One thing to note is in addition to all those DOT slots, the charters are surprisingly still in operation. Not sure if they'll all end by the time all these Havana flights are in operation but as of right now they're booking flights for the next 8 weeks or so. Back last November, a roundtrip charter flight from FL to Havana was around $450 r/t.

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Frugal intentional traveler Guest

Why are you concentrating on the Cubans? American people of all cultures want to go to Cuba, especially LA people. We are all curious about Cuba. That is why we are going in Febuary. We will fly out of LA.

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