Ethiopian Airlines Offers Planes & Pilots To South African Airways

Filed Under: Ethiopian, South African Airways

Could South African Airways (SAA) make a comeback, but with Ethiopian Airlines planes and pilots?

South African Airways is broke

While South African Airways has been losing money for about a decade, things finally took a turn for the worse in December 2019, when the airline entered business rescue. This is a procedure by which practitioners took control of the airline, with the goal of maximizing its odds of survivals, or at a minimum achieving a better return for creditors than outright liquidating.

Then the coronavirus pandemic more or less shut down global aviation, which made SAA’s situation even more dire. The airline has more or less suspended operations, and has gotten rid of most of its planes.

South Africa’s government has made it clear that it needs about $600 million for the airline to restart operations, and that’s just enough to cover a combination of ticket refunds and employee severance packages (since 4,000 employees accepted these packages, but haven’t been paid). That doesn’t even begin to address SAA’s fleet issues…

South African Airways has gotten rid of most of its planes

The country has been looking for private investors, but unsurprisingly, there hasn’t been much interest. After all, anyone interested in investing in an airline in South Africa would be better off starting from scratch.

Ethiopian Airlines is willing to help

Ethiopian Airlines is by far Africa’s most successful mega-airline. The airline has historically been profitable, and has greatly helped Ethiopia’s economy. On top of that, Ethiopian has also stepped in on several occasions to help other airlines. It’s now offering to do the same for South African Airways, as reported by Bloomberg.

Ethiopian Airlines is offering South African Airways planes, pilots, and maintenance, in order to help the airline get back off the ground. However, Ethiopian isn’t willing to invest any cash beyond that, understandably.

As Ethiopian Airlines’ CEO describes it:

“We don’t want to deal with the legacy issues — the debt, labor claims and so on because that is very difficult for us not only in terms of financial outlay but also in terms of managing the restructuring. We want to make it very easy for them to start the airline by providing airplanes, by providing expertise, pilots, technicians, leadership.”

And I sure can’t blame Ethiopian. It could be mutually beneficial for Ethiopian to essentially lease planes to a relaunched SAA, while there’s almost certainly no upside to making an investment beyond that.

Ethiopian Airlines has a much more modern fleet than SAA. With SAA having gotten rid of its A330 and A350 fleet, the airline is only left with A340s, which are outdated and not fuel efficient.

Ethiopian Airlines, meanwhile, has both 787s and A350s, which offer significantly better economics.

Ethiopian Airlines could operate 787s on behalf of SAA

Bottom line

If South African Airways does find a way to restart operations, there’s lots of merit to Ethiopian Airlines’ offer — the airline could operate flights on SAA’s behalf with less cash outlay required (since SAA isn’t in a position to order new planes).

That being said, this is still reliant on SAA figuring out its legacy issues, as the airline needs hundreds of millions of dollars to restart operations. It seems unlikely this would be of interest to any private investor, in which case this plan would be reliant upon a full government bailout.

Do you think South African Airways has a future in any form?

Comments
  1. I think a Major Investor could restart them, and even make them profitable, at the cost of ruthless cash management which would alienate/anger the people who stuck with the airline through its troubles. Whether a Major Investor willing to tackle that kind of mega-stress exists is another matter.

    I hold hope for SAA, but do not look for it.

  2. If I were Ethiopian, this would be my opening gambit. If SAA can’t get its legacy issues solved, my second move would be to create a holding company in South Africa, 49% owned by ET and 51% owned by a friendly South African conglomerate. The holding company would then start a new airline (South African Airlines?), with planes, pilots, etc., leased from Ethiopian.

  3. No, SAA will not survive in any format. It’s time for SAA to become part of South Africa’s history. It’s legacy:
    1. Gross Mismanagement by delinquent CEO’s and interference by SA government.
    2. Rampant corruption and theft by scrupulous third-party tender intrapreneurs colluding with certain SAA managers.
    3. The SA Treasury have squandered countless Billions in ZA Rands to keep bailing a failed enterprise.
    4. There is no more money to sustain the resurrection of SAA in any form or format.

    There is nothing left and no more deals to be done as a state-owned flag carrier as the South African Government will not accept ET’s offer to provide their own pilots and aircraft, failing which…this is a waste of time, money and pixels.

    ET phone home and move on…SAA is a carcass and no miracle or divine intervention will cause a Lazarus resurrection.

  4. The entire African continent leaders should come to point of realization that corruption and swindling of public fund will never bring any development.
    Hand over SAA to a private Company today and watch the story.

  5. Ethiopia airlines is a classic example of how good management can result in good growth of a business enterprise

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