United CEO Scott Kirby Mocks Delta’s Pacific Expansion… He’s Probably Right

At the moment, Delta Air Lines is growing across the Pacific, as the airline tries to catch up with United Airlines a bit when it comes to long haul flying. Delta is increasingly leaning into Los Angeles (LAX) as a long haul hub, and we’ve seen the airline add flights to Hong Kong (HKG), with Manila (MNL) service launching soon.

Executives at the Atlanta-based carrier claim the goal is to beat United across the Pacific. So, how does United CEO Scott Kirby, one of the industry’s most outspoken people, feel about that? Apparently he’s not losing any sleep over it (presumably neither his 8.5 hours per night of sleep, nor his daily nap!).

Scott Kirby trash talks Delta’s Pacific expansion

JonNYC shares how United’s CEO had a Q&A with pilots in Denver, and Kirby was asked if he has any concerns about Delta’s growth in Asia and across the Pacific. His answer?

“No. We have the best Pacific hubs. We are 5x bigger than DAL in the Pacific. Markets DAL is opening in Pacific are low yield and half empty, like HKG. They don’t have the right aircraft for the Pacific. SFO is the best Pacific gateway to have. We’ll be #1 across both oceans.”

Kirby certainly didn’t mince words here. In the past when asked about Delta’s Pacific aspirations, he said he has “a lot of respect for Delta, and what they have done, and I take it as a huge compliment that Delta is beginning to acknowledge that they have an equal that they’re worried about and trying to compete with us.” When asked what he wants to beat Delta on, Kirby replied “everything.”

Meanwhile around the same time, Delta President Peter Carter commented on United, saying “we always have to be hungry to win, and I say that because I know United is out there competing against us and replicating the playbook a little bit.” He continued by saying “bring ’em on.”

Several weeks ago, United Chief Commercial Officer Andrew Nocella said the following in an internal meeting for employees, echoing the comments about Delta’s challenges across the Pacific:

“The [UA] LA-HKG route is quite successful now as a result of [the BKK/SGN tags]. We face new competition now from another airline based in ATL, and I know they’re not going to do very well there. I can already tell from their pricing. They’re unable to fill up their airplanes.”

United Airlines Boeing 787 parked at the gate in Chicago
United claims it’ll maintain its top spot across the Pacific

Delta is the underdog, let’s see how it all plays out

Delta is unarguably a very well run business — the carrier has long been the most profitable US carrier, and that’s because they do some things really well. However, there’s no denying that the airline is also the underdog when it comes to its Pacific expansion, and has a lot of catch-up to play.

Historically, some people have tried to argue that United’s Pacific flying wasn’t actually that profitable. Well, if that’s the case, then you can bet that Delta’s Pacific growth won’t be profitable any time soon either. There’s simply no denying that United is better positioned for Asia with its San Francisco fortress hub, compared to Delta’s split hub strategy (in terms of the number of connecting flights, corporate contracts, depth of network, and local market pricing power).

Am I happy to see Delta expanding to Asia? Absolutely, competition is good for consumers. Will this growth be profitable any time soon? Almost certainly not. Will it be profitable in the long run, by some metric? Well, we’ll see…

With current oil prices, I can’t help but think that some of Delta’s long haul growth will start to negatively impact profitability. There are already starting to be signs of this based on Q2 2026 financial results, when comparing year-over-year capacity growth to yield growth across the Pacific:

  • United saw 10.9% yield growth on 4.1% capacity growth
  • Delta saw 7% yield growth on 8% capacity growth
  • American saw 17.3% yield growth on 8.2% capacity growth

As you can see, there was a negative outlier, and it wasn’t American, for once. At American and United, yield growth greatly exceeded capacity growth in the Pacific region (more than double, in both cases), while at Delta, capacity growth exceeded yield growth. I don’t think that will get any better when Delta launches Manila flights.

And fortunately for Delta, the new Riyadh (RUH) route isn’t considered part of the Pacific, but that route will probably have some hilariously bad economics, at least before you add in whatever subsidies Saudi Arabia is offering. Assuming it does launch in the coming weeks, I think this might be a contender for the “emptiest new long haul route ever launched by a US carrier” award.

Delta Air Lines Airbus A350 on the tarmac at Los Angeles International Airport
Delta’s Pacific growth will be costly in the short term

Bottom line

Delta is currently growing across the Pacific, and wants to not only take on United, but beat the carrier in long haul flying. That’s a very lofty goal, and Delta is massively the underdog here.

United CEO Scott Kirby is laughing off this growth, claiming Delta’s expansion is low yield and planes are half empty. He argues that Delta doesn’t have the right planes or hubs for the Pacific, and insists United will remain number one across both oceans.

What do you make of Kirby’s comments about Delta’s Pacific growth?

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rebel Diamond

Without the large fare increases due to rising fuel prices Delta's Q2 TPAC yields would have undoubtedly decreased YOY along with PRASM. Not good. 2025/1H26 Pacific rev $m UA: 6,878/4,013 DL: 3,364/1,959 Q2 ’26 TPAC PRASM YOY UAL/DAL: +14.0%/+7.0% 2025 Pacific data:
 UAL TPAC Op profit: $735M Rev: $6.9B ≈10.7% op margin, 1.51c/ASM
 DAL TPAC Op profit: $327M Rev: $3.4B ≈ 9.3% op margin, 1.47c/ASM

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AD Diamond

I am NOT defending Delta - they need to wake up before UA beats them up and steals their lunch money. And I'd like them to wake up because I deeply despise UA after being consistently treated poorly as a 1K (as was every 1K - it wasn't personal) a number of years ago. And DL is doing their best to suck lately. All that said my one recent data point regarding DL in the pacific (this month) was a RT to Tokyo that was packed. I'm willing to believe that was an outlier as it's not an expansion route.

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rebel Diamond

Q2 2026 Yield/Capacity UA: 10.9%/4.1% DL: 7.0%/8.0% AA: 17.3%/8.2% The data tells the tale. DL's initial TPAC growth has poor relative yields. Mainline Fleet size 2016/2026: UA: 737/1,143 +406/55% AA: 930/1,036 +106/11%
 DL: 832/1,002 +170/20% Wide body deliveries: ……’26/’27/’28/later
 UAL: 20/27/18/75 (+ 45 359s?)
 DAL: 03/08/12/61
 AAL: 00/06/03/10 WBs Now/YE28
 UA: 240/295
 DL: 180/203
 AA: 137/146 UA: 1,143 aircraft, (240 WB), Orders: 173 WB/393 NB (14.9 average fleet age)
 AA: 1,036 aircraft, (137 WB), Orders: 19 WB/261 NB (14.8 average fleet age)
 DL: 1,002 aircraft, (180 WB), Orders: 84 WB/248 NB (15.0 average fleet age) Lie-flat Business Class Seats/Int’l Departure: UA: 45.4, AA: 35.1, DL: 31.8

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CXTraveller Gold

Looks like Delta is doing so well in HKG that it is having a SkyMiles sale -- 34K to 44K miles for roundtrip to HKG from many US cities in basic economy.

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Kuloko Guest

A week back I was looking into a last moment trip to Tokyo in the middle of this October. Even with +/- 1 day flexibility AA had only a few J seats available and PE was either all sold out or having just one seat. UA had the most seats and the cheapest PE available. I have ended up booking CX through HKG.

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