Virgin Atlantic Consortium Makes Formal Offer To Purchase Struggling Flybe

Update: In early March 2020, Flybe ceased operations.

I’ve written a few times recently about Flybe, which is ‘Europe’s largest regional carrier.’ I had wondered if their financial performance and share price could potentially lead to them being the next European airline to cease operations.

The struggling airline then promptly ‘put itself up for sale,’ by inviting offers from outside parties to purchase the airline. British Airways and Virgin Atlantic both expressed interest in potentially purchasing Flybe.

Now comes the news that a consortium of companies, led by Virgin Atlantic, has submitted a formal offer to purchase Flybe, which has been recommended for approval by Flybe’s board, though it still requires shareholder approval.

Connect Airways

The consortium, which will operate as a joint venture to be known as ‘Connect Airways,’ is made up of:

  • Virgin Atlantic
  • Stobart Group, which has various resource and transport investments; most notably in the aviation space, they already own London Southend Airport, as well as Carlisle Lake District Airport
  • Cyrus Capital, which is a US private equity firm

What is most interesting is the price they are willing to pay to purchase all of the shares in the company — a mere £2.2 million ($2.83 million).

For the entire airline.

If that seems unusually cheap, it does come with the condition that ‘Connect Airways’ will inject £100 million ($130 million) into the airline, to try and reverse its poor financial performance.

Flybe’s share price on the London Stock Exchange fell even lower on the offer news, given the purchase price will only provide around 1p (pence) per share.

Six months ago each Flybe share was worth around 42p, yesterday (before the offer was made public) they were trading around 16p, while today, after the offer news broke, they dropped below 2p before settling at around 4p each when the markets closed.

If the offer is accepted by Flybe shareholders, it will be really interesting to see exactly what the consortium does with the Flybe brand and network.

The Connect Airways publicly released Offer Document says that the Flybe brand will ‘operate under the Virgin Atlantic brand,’ which to me suggests the aircraft will be rebranded as either Virgin Atlantic or some sort of regional Virgin brand — Virgin Express maybe?

While this will help feed regional passengers to Virgin Atlantic’s existing long haul network, Flybe primarily flies propeller planes, and it will certainly be a dramatic change to the customer experience stepping off a Virgin Atlantic 787 and onto a Virgin ‘Express’ Bombardier Dash 8.

Virgin Atlantic dabbled with domestic operations with their Little Red venture many years ago, but this was not successful.

The offer document also plans for Flybe to assist Virgin Atlantic to grow its hubs at London Heathrow and Manchester. Flybe already has flights to both of these airports, moreso Manchester, which is considered a hub for them.

Their second hub (noting they also have a number of operating bases) is Birmingham, which Virgin Atlantic does not fly to.

Virgin Atlantic also has significant operations at London Gatwick, although Flybe only operates one route to Gatwick, which is ending in March this year anyway.

FlyBe aircraft

Bottom line

It will be interesting to see if this offer is accepted by Flybe shareholders, and even more interesting to see how the brand changes with the proposed ‘incorporation into the Virgin Atlantic brand.’

Both airlines have very different products and focuses and though there are some existing natural synergies (like both airlines’ Manchester operations), it won’t be a simple integration.

I cannot imagine stepping on to a ‘Virgin Atlantic’ propeller plane!

Do you think the offer will be accepted by Flybe shareholders?

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The Fred New Member

Interesting also that VS will now become a supplier to SAS (as Flybe is currently contracted by SAS to supply five ATR72 for regional routes out of ARN).

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red_robbo Gold

Oh come on James, by suggesting that Flybe's slots could be used to feed DL's hub in AMS is extremely naive and actually shows that you STILL don't understand what these "remedy" slots are all about! Flybe or the new consortium simply can't use them for European flights such as AMS, as a condition of the EC's clearance of BA's takeover of BMI in 2012, BA could only keep 42 out of BMI's 56 daily slot pairs and had to relinquish 14 slots that could only be used by other carriers on flights to ABZ, EDI, CAI, RUH, DME and NCE. 7 of these slot pairs had to be used on Scottish routes, which are the slots that Little Red, and currently Flybe, operate. (I'm no longer sure of the exact details, but I do believe that at some fixed date in the future, any unused slots from this agreement would revert back to BA.) So this means that VS/DL currently have absolutely zero hope of expanding feeder services into LHR beyond the existing EDI/ABZ routes, unless they somehow manage to buy existing slots off another carriers (probably at tens of millions of pounds a pair!), an expense which could not possibly be justified for speculative feeder traffic, especially when using 80 seater aircraft. As Fake news above says - stick to what you know and quit trying to be an airline analyst!

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Alan Bowen Guest

The price paid shows just how close to complete failure Flybe was. The banks appear to have been withholding credit card payments until the flights have actually taken place, thus destroying any cash flow for the airline, fearing of course that if the airline failed, they would have to refund the customers. There will have to be major changes, too many planes flying too many routes that do not make a profit. Flybe sold their last slots at Gatwick to Wizz only yesterday so they now have no slots there at all and at Heathrow, they are limited to the slots which BA had to release as a condition of buying BMI some years ago. Putting the Virgin name on a domestic route is no guarantee of success, just ask Virgin itself who attempted to compete with BA with its Virgin Red operation that was closed down three years after it began. I doubt BA will come forward with any offer, there just isn't any value left in Flybe, pruning on a substantial scale may be necessary to keep the new operation in the air at all

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Jamie Gold

James I’ve been on many a virgin ( Australia ) prop flight , especially to GLT . Can’t wait for the same virgin experience at LBA :-) .

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James Diamond

@ Henry - I understand Flybes Heathrow slots are restricted to European destinations. I could see them using them to AMS to feed into Deltas big hub there.

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