Trump Needs To Save US Airlines From Collapse

…at least that’s what some are suggesting.

I feel like we live in a time where facts simply don’t matter anymore, and I think sometimes those have to be called out, even if it’s like beating a dead horse.

Townhall has a story about how President Trump will be meeting with the Emir of Qatar on July 9, 2019, and how this is an opportunity for Trump to “school” him. The story explains that Trump should confront the Emir of Qatar about many things, including the following:

President Trump can also discuss Qatar’s disregard of commitments made between our two countries to help ensure fair international airline operations outlined in the Open Skies trade agreements. Qatar and the United Arab Emirates ignored those commitment for several years, subsidizing their airlines, which violated the rules and gave their airlines an unfair advantage.  This put our airlines – and the many who they employ – in a dangerous position.

As @kenblackwell points out, Qatar’s state subsidies for it airline industry is going a long way towards putting US carries out of business. This is in violation of an agreement with the US—and something you’d think @realDonaldTrump would care a lot about.

This is so absurd and far from having any basis in reality that I can’t help but call it out.

US airlines are on the verge of collapse?

I mean, I feel like I don’t even need to comment here. All things considered, US airlines have never been in a better situation.

The US airline industry is bigger than ever before. The US airline industry is employing more people than ever before. American’s CEO even bragged about how the airline will never lose money again, and will make a minimum of three billion dollars per year.

As a passenger I sure feel like there’s not enough competition in the US. Just look at how uncompetitive the “big three” US airlines are with one another.

What’s next, should we start being sympathetic towards telecom companies?

Qatar is violating their Open Skies agreement?

In early 2018 the US and Qatar reached an agreement, which stated the following:

  • Within one year, Qatar Airways will release audited financial statements in accordance with internationally-recognized accounting standards, and within two years they will disclose any transactions with other state-owned entities, such as caterers or other companies that support airline operations
  • A side letter states that Qatar’s civil aviation authority is “unaware of any plans by Qatar Airways to start fifth freedom flights;” note that Qatar Airways doesn’t say they won’t, just that they don’t have any plans to as of now

That has completely been adhered to. Heck, even beyond what they agreed to, I think most would agree they’ve been reasonable. Qatar Airways has added virtually no service to the US (including not launching Las Vegas and San Francisco flights, both of which were in the cards), and they’ve added no fifth freedom flights.

Furthermore, plans for Air Italy were already known when that agreement was in place, and very few people are using the Air Italy flights to & from Europe as fifth freedom flights. Qatar Airways would have no reason to route people via Milan, since they can also add capacity themselves between Doha and the US, but choose not to.

Facts just aren’t convenient in this debate

Let me be clear — if an argument was to be made about how subsidized airlines shouldn’t be allowed to participate in the Open Skies agreement, then I think that would be fair enough. But that’s not what’s being done.

Instead three airlines are being targeted.

What about Saudia, which operates a similar business model, but which belongs to SkyTeam and works with Delta? What about Alitalia, which Delta has a transatlantic joint venture with (meaning they’re sharing profits) even though Alitalia has received a countless number of subsidies?

Bottom line

It sure sucks when facts get in the way of fantasy. Qatar isn’t in any way violating their Open Skies agreement, and there are zero concerns about US airlines being on the verge of collapse.

Let me once again emphasize that a debate can be had about the role of subsidies in an agreement based on free competition. However, that argument needs to go way beyond the “big three” Gulf carriers.

This post isn’t a defense of Qatar, but rather it’s intended to point out how silly it is that this has become a topic of bumper sticker patriotism.

(Tip of the hat to @erichert)

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simon Diamond

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-qatar-airlines-gulf/airline-chiefs-at-white-house-with-concerns-over-open-skies-agreement-subsidies-by-qatar-uae-idUSKCN1UD2G2

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KMSP Guest

@Lucky... This Forbes articles makes yours sound like you're more pro ME3 and less fair competition. The numbers are astonishing! https://www.forbes.com/sites/thomasduesterberg/2019/07/08/qatar-airways-subsidies-continue-to-undermine-competition-in-vital-transatlantic-routes/amp/?__twitter_impression=true

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josh Guest

By any reasonable definition of clickbait, this was clickbait. The headline is the opposite of the thesis of the article designed to attract clicks on the basis that most people would be shocked to see Lucky espousing such a position. That it has to do with politics has no bearing on the issue. He might as well have written "Ten Reasons American Is The Best Airline In The World" with a cheeky list of sarcastic items. That would be clickbait. This is clickbait.

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Ted Gold

Go Lucky! It's good to state the truth once in a while, just so people don't forget it exists. This whole gaslighting of America thing is so exhausting. You can't get anyways good if you can't even agree on basic facts

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Khatl Diamond

Staggered anyone is indicating Qantas is a world class airline. It's simple; they're not - the service is poor, the food mediocre, the biz seat simply not comparable to pretty much all other airlines and so on Qatar has a great biz product... And for anyone on US East Coast, other than on SIA out of NYC, Qatar is basically the easiest and quickest way to get to Asian destinations like Phnom Penh, Ho Chi Minh etc. given the east coast cities they serve. The US domestic market is an oligopoly and to/from Europe pretty much the same. Just look at prices for any US destination domestically served only by a traditional carrier. Look at how transatlantic prices are nuts from majority of US cities (other than NYC, Miami, Chicago, LA, Dallas) to destinations like Paris, Amsterdam, Rome due to the Skyteam monopoly; often you can fly Delta Biz to Delhi thru Paris or Amsterdam cheaper than if you fly to Europe alone! Bottom line - there's nowhere near enough competition in multiple instances; agreements with ME3 are sufficient to ensure transparency; and US3 are and will continue to make huge profits.

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