Singapore Airlines’ New Capital Express Route

Even though Singapore Airlines is generally very well regarded for their service, they’re not doing very well financially. As a matter of fact, they’ve been losing money on a majority of their longhaul flights since 2009, due to the competition they’ve faced from low cost carriers on regional flights and from the Gulf carriers on longhaul flights.

Singapore-A380

Singapore Airlines has long operated a variety of fifth freedom routes, many of which have been necessary due to Singapore’s location. For example, all of their routes between the US and Singapore operate via a third city, ranging from Frankfurt to Hong Kong to Moscow to Seoul to Tokyo (though they’re hoping to restart nonstop service between the US and Singapore in a few years).

Singapore Airlines has just announced a rather creative new capital to capital to capital route, including a fifth freedom sector, which I’m still trying to make sense of.

As of September 20, 2016, Singapore Airlines will be launching 4x weekly flights between Singapore and Canberra, with connecting flights to Wellington. For those not aware, Canberra is the capital of Australia, while Wellington is the capital of New Zealand, so this is being referred to as the “Capital Express” route, as it’s connecting the capitals of three countries.

SINCBRWLG

Via airlineroute.net, the flight will operate with the following schedule:

SQ291 Singapore to Canberra departing 11:00PM arriving 8:35AM (+1 day)
SQ291 Canberra to Wellington departing 9:50AM arriving 3:05PM

SQ292 Wellington to Canberra departing 8:15PM arriving 10:05PM
SQ292 Canberra to Singapore departing 11:30PM arriving 5:50AM (+1 day)

The flight will be operated by a 777-200ER, featuring 38 business class seats and 228 economy class seats.

Singapore-Airlines-777-First-Class-45
Singapore Airlines 777 economy class

Presumably there will be some amount of government traffic on the route (both between Singapore and Australia, as well as between Australia and New Zealand), though I think it’s pretty significant to note that no airline flies nonstop between Canberra and Wellington. Not even Qantas or Air New Zealand on a much lower capacity 737 or A320. That says a lot as to the demand in those markets.

Furthermore:

  • The flight’s arrival and departure times in Singapore aren’t especially conducive to connecting to Europe, so it seems like the route is mostly intended to connect passengers between Asia and Australia/New Zealand
  • For people in Wellington traveling to Singapore, this route isn’t faster than several other one stop options through Australia

My guess is that they’ll be relying heavily on cargo to make this route work, along with some premium government traffic. While I can kind of make sense of the Singapore to Canberra route, it’s the add-on to Wellington I can’t really rationalize, given the terrible aircraft utilization it causes, as well as additional crew costs.

The flight will have some indirect subsidies from the Australian government, which presumably contributed to the decision to launch the route. Via The Canberra Times:

The airline is the first carrier to fly directly to Canberra from overseas in more than a decade, after previous attempts to establish international routes were abandoned. The deal, welcomed by business and tourism groups, comes after years of lobbying by the ACT government and the creation of a $1.1 million co-operative marketing package.

A new departure and arrival lounge will cost $25 million, paid for by Canberra Airport. It is part of a $32 million investment by the business, which said it would offer more if other airlines followed and offered international flights, too.

Construction of a new customs and arrivals area inside the Canberra terminal will begin within weeks. The cost of customs and immigration staff is paid for by taxpayers.

Bottom line

Starting a fifth freedom flight on a route which presently isn’t served by any airline at all is interesting, as there aren’t many of those out there. Even with the indirect subsidies, I have a hard time imagining this flight has the potential to make any money. But then again, that puts it in the same league as most of Singapore’s other longhaul routes, apparently. 😉

What do you make of Singapore Airlines’ new Capital Express route?

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MYOB Guest

self important blether about routes is not helpful. Most people visiting your page are wanting useful on the route and the flight. Did it have in seat power for business class? What about lounge access? how about overhead locker capacity? More facts, less opinion and you'll have good content. As it stands this is just a lot of hot air

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Doug Mulley Guest

I'm a Canberran who's as happy as hell with this move! We've already booked our tickets to Thailand, enjoying a one day stopover in Singapore on the way up. Changing planes in Singapore on return leg is FAR easier than the hassle of getting to and from Sydney International. We travel either to Asia and/or Europe pretty much every year, so have joined Singapore's Krisflyer. I feel for Murrays coaches in Canberra though, who have for years provided an inexpensive and reliable hourly bus service between Canberra and Sydney International airport.

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Road to Samarkand Guest

Lucky, I do question some of the points made in your article, for example that the timing does not work for connecting flights to Europe. The timing allows you to spend a full productive day in Singapore before taking an overnighter onwards. The alternative right now is to lose a day leaving Canberra in the morning via another Australian airport to catch a European connection out of Asia. Qantas and Virgin Australia did not have much incentive for this direct international routing as they have been raking it in on the massively overpriced Canberra-Sydney/Melbourne flights. It is not unusual to pay $800 for a return fare between Canberra and Sydney or Melbourne. As a Canberra resident, most of my travel to Sydney or Melbourne is in order to catch an international connection. The same applies to many other Canberrans. The Canberra traffic will free up seats on SQ flights from Melbourne and Sydney to Singapore, and fits with SQ's expansion of capacity to Australia in general. Finally, there is the 0910 service to LHR that Canberrans could catch. It sure beats having to transit SYD/MEL followed by yet another stop in the Mideast or Asia.

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Ryan Guest

But @Loz you mentioned in your post that the flight could used to connect to Bali, which proves your Geography is at a very remedial level , especially for someone who seems to know the area. The irony is in your original post you were bashing Lucky's geography. You also seem very humble yourself.

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Evan Guest

This service could well fail, but it's hardly the head scratcher you make it out to be. The 5th freedom traffic is going to be negligible and it's not going to be premium heavy, since rightly most government agencies in both countries do not let their employees purchase business class fares for 4 hour flights. This is about using one plane over the week (basically) to provide direct service to Singapore from two cities with catchment areas for international traffic of about half a million each, and from which there are hundreds of people every day flying to Europe via SYD/AKL and then some Asian or Middle East point. This is about capturing a slice of that traffic. Give it a year or two and we'll see if it's a genius move or a total waste of an aircraft.

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