Why Does Alaska Succeed While JetBlue Fails? My Take…

OMAAT reader Paul posed an interesting, about why Alaska Airlines is so much more successful than JetBlue Airways.

In many ways, I’d consider the airlines to have similar concepts — JetBlue is to the East Coast what Alaska is to the West Coast, sort of. Both are brands that people generally like, and both try to offer a pleasant passenger experience. Despite that, Alaska has some of the industry’s best margins, while JetBlue hasn’t turned a profit in years, despite having a huge presence in some really lucrative markets.

JetBlue is sort of facing the same challenges as low cost carriers (though not as bad as at Frontier and Spirit), while Alaska is enjoying similar success to carriers like Delta and United (though at lower volume). What’s driving this difference in financial performance, and what can JetBlue learn from Alaska?

Let me share what I’d consider the key factors to be. For the purposes of this, I’m excluding Alaska Air Group’s takeover of Hawaiian Airlines, since it’s too early to fully know how that’s going to play out.

Alaska understands the importance of being number one

JetBlue has a significant presence at airports like New York Kennedy (JFK) and Boston Logan (BOS), which you’d think are awesome places to have hubs. The challenge is that at both of these airports, JetBlue trails Delta in terms of market share.

The other issue is that if you view the New York market in terms of all three main airports, JetBlue only has a strong presence at Kennedy, and not at LaGuardia (LGA). That’s a major disadvantage compared to Delta, which has a leading position at both airports.

That’s different than the situation at Alaska, where the airline enjoys the number one market share spot at its most important hubs, like Seattle (SEA), Portland (PDX), and Anchorage (ANC). Furthermore, thanks to the size of Alaska’s network and fleet, the airline can at least compete in Los Angeles (LAX), San Diego (SAN), and San Francisco (SFO). Alaska also has a huge network to Hawaii, with point-to-point routes not served by other airlines.

Why is it so important to be the dominant airline in your most important hubs? It’s something that United CEO Scott Kirby has talked about, in the context of becoming a premium airline. When you’re the dominant airline in a market, you have a lot more pricing power, and you also have a lot more upside with loyalty.

JetBlue’s issue is that it’s always going to be in a number two position behind Delta, and that’s not a good place to be. Delta also offers a great passenger experience, the airline has a more global network, and Delta can price competitively to keep JetBlue in check, by using basic economy.

The dynamics here are interesting, because Delta’s power is very different against JetBlue in New York vs. against Alaska in Seattle.

It’s hard to compete at two big Delta hubs

Alaska gives people products that they’ll pay for

JetBlue was founded with the concept of offering a pleasant economy experience across the board. We see the airline offering great legroom, seat back TV, free Wi-Fi, and more. There are only two issues.

The first issue is that JetBlue isn’t able to get a revenue premium for offering a better product (as American learned in its “More Room Throughout Coach” era). The second issue is that JetBlue’s biggest competitor is Delta, which is an airline that people enjoy flying as well. JetBlue has been really slow to adapt to consumer trends — JetBlue hasn’t offered lounges or first class, but that’s finally expected to change (eventually).

This is all such a contrast to Alaska, which has no seat back TV, charges for Wi-Fi, and essentially offers people the products they’ll pay for. The airline has a pretty standard economy product, but then has extra legroom economy, first class, and a robust lounge network.

JetBlue needs to do a better job monetizing its onboard real estate. You shouldn’t be offering everyone more legroom if they’re not willing to pay for it, but instead, offer products like first class.

When I say things like that, some people like to accuse me of being anti-consumer. “Wow, you’re one of those people against legroom.” No, I’m one of those people who wants the airline industry to remain competitive, and airlines shrinking and becoming increasingly irrelevant (like what we’re seeing at JetBlue) isn’t good for anyone.

Alaska offers a wider range of products

Alaska knows how to lean into the power of loyalty

Alaska has long used its Mileage Plan program as a point of differentiation. It has been one of the most compelling airline loyalty programs out there, and Alaska has long established partnerships with global airlines, giving people the ability to earn and redeem miles.

In many ways, Mileage Plan has been way ahead of its time, and has been able to generate an impressive amount of money and loyalty from its program. While JetBlue has TrueBlue, for years, the airline didn’t do nearly enough to make the program lucrative and engaging, especially given the carrier’s direct competitors in the Northeast.

That’s slowly starting to change for TrueBlue, as we’re increasingly seeing partner redemption opportunities. However, the airline is at quite the disadvantage, and has a lot of catching up to do.

JetBlue’s loyalty program hasn’t been that compelling

Alaska has a disciplined management team

Alaska probably has one of the most disciplined and focused management teams in the industry. Executives at the airline know what the airline is, and know what the airline isn’t. Now, some people might argue that some of that focus has been lost with the acquisition of Hawaiian, but for this post, I’m focusing on comparing the historic reality of the two airlines.

It’s just such a contrast to JetBlue. Admittedly JetBlue’s top two executives only took over last year, but at least prior to that, JetBlue management was all over the place in terms of its strategy. Former CEO Robin Hayes seemed to completely ignore the struggles the airline was having with its core business model, instead thinking that the solution was to focus on shiny things, ranging from launching transatlantic flights, to an acquisition of Spirit.

The attempted Spirit takeover ended up being a very costly distraction, while the transatlantic flights — not surprisingly — haven’t proven to be the solution to all of JetBlue’s problems.

JetBlue’s management team has lacked focus

Bottom line

The US airline industry has become tougher than ever before, between increased labor costs, and profits increasingly coming from loyalty programs. Therefore I think it’s interesting to compare the difference in success between Alaska and JetBlue, since I’d argue they’re generally similar, but just on different coasts.

If you ask me, JetBlue would be in a very different situation if it had taken some notes from Alaska’s playbook a little earlier. JetBlue has some valuable assets — specifically, a large presence in New York and Boston — it just doesn’t know how to use them properly.

What’s your take on the difference in success between Alaska and JetBlue?

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Steve Guest

Alaska has a longer history in their markets and started with little serious competition. That locked in their initial and now loyal customer base. In addition the areas they service in general have higher median incomes than comparable NE metro areas and Florida. Lastly much more favorable weather. A bad storm in the NE that results in angry customers promotes a lot of "I will try brand X next time". Jet Blue was literally gifted gates at below market lease rates at JFK with all new airplanes initially. The newness factor was key in the already hyper competitive NE corridor. Once their operating costs normalized and the newness wore off they became just another option. No cost advantage, no operational/reliability advantage, no network advantage, and only a comparable product to someone like Delta. A more interesting comparison would be SWA and Alaska. SWA initially had a monopoly in their first 3 markets and generally good weather. Both airlines were very successful with loyal customer bases. Once they chased growth into the NE at hubs like ATL, BWI, LGA and had to deal with a lot more weather you saw their reputation become badly damaged.

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Jason Guest

As I write this, there are 105 comments posted already. My point is only to acknowledge that I have not read all 105 posts... My home airport is SFO. I was a Virgin America elite (SFO was their home base), and thus became an Alaska customer when they took over VX. It has been *extremely* easy to maintain elite status on AS, and now that AS is a part of oneworld, it's even easier. Both before and after joining oneworld, I have been able to use AS Mileage Plan points for Business class travel to Europe and Asia on multiple occasions, including an emergency trip to Cambodia when our daughter was hospitalized there. Any skepticism I had about Alaska's takeover of Virgin America has long been assuaged -- both by conversations with several of Alaska's VPs and by actions both on the ground and in the air. I find their customer service representatives in the various call centers to be the most helpful of any airline, and are always enthusiastic and cheerful. Both they and the in-flight crews never fail to recognize my elite status and thank me for being an elite. Their 20 minute baggage guarantee (which in 12 years and 128 flights, I've only been able to take advantage of three times), their lounge network (admittedly not the world's best, but far, far better than the worst), and other factors make me a loyal AS pax. JetBlue, OTOH, began as an exciting and wonderful airline. Their MINT class of service was incredible, their "regular" Economy seats were actually comfortable and had enough legroom, the IFE worked...my only problem was, being on the Left Coast, I could (then) fly B6 out of OAK (and later SFO) to LGB, JFK, or BOS but very few places in between. Indeed, between 2000 and 2019, I have flown B6 a total of 10 times and only in and out of those five airports. Last month (June 12th to be precise), I flew JetBlue SFO-JFK. The ONLY reason I did was because I had the points to fly for free (earned from the previous 10 flights). The seat-back entertainment system kept re-booting throughout the flight and was totally useless; the FAs came through once with snacks and drinks and then were never heard from again (except to collect trash); and the 8-year old A321 was looking tired. For me, there is no comparison between the two carriers. I might feel differently if I lived in New York or Boston, but if I lived in New York or Boston, I'd probably be flying on DL or AA a lot more than I do...

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Bor Guest

The take regarding leg room and monetizing every little thing IS anti-consumer. Capitalism rewards those who exploit their customer bases. I, for one, appreciate not being nickel and dimed for everything on board, and the extra legroom has made flying longer distances much more palatable. I wouldn't consider any other airline for a NY to CA trip even though JFK is not the most convenient airport for me. Not to mention Mint is a top notch premium product. There are improvements to be made in loyalty programs for sure but I think JetBlue has been dealt an unfortunate hand too. Either the acquisition of Spirit or a continuation of the partnership with AA would have made them much more competitive and there is no reason that both of those were struck down but Alaska's acquisition of Hawaiian was allowed to go through.

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Jamie Guest

Alaska is a much older airline and has dominated Seattle and Portalnd for 50 years. Jet blue is much younger and is taking on established carriers, you really cannot compare the two. If Alaska eas a much younger airline like Jet Blue, Alaska would like be having the same struggles.

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Steve from Seattle Guest

@Ben--I think your analysis is on point, particularly concerning being number one in hub markets. AS is dominant at SEA, my home airport, even in the face of good competition from DL. I have been a DL loyalist for years but this year, I find myself needing to fly from SEA to a number of destinations served nonstop by AS but not by DL. In one case, DL serves the destination seasonally while AS serves it year round. Generally, on routes where AS and DL compete head-to-head, AS offers more frequencies. Most people around here expect nonstops, particularly on domestic routes, and AS serves this market better than any other carrier, with more nonstops to more places. The one area in which AS is at a disadvantage, at least for me, is its OneWorld membership. That means if one must make connections, particularly on domestic routes, AA is usually involved. I just don't fly AA. If I have to make such a connection, I usually end up flying DL.

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