American Is About To Announce Service To Australia!

For the past couple of days there have been rumors of a big announcement coming from American today. Apparently the announcement was supposed to be centered around a new route, and in particular growth out of LAX over the Pacific.

Well, American dropped a pretty big hint about the new route on Twitter this morning:

Presumably:

  • American is announcing service to Australia
  • It’s part of their joint venture with Qantas (hence the “GreatMates” hashtag)
  • It’s out of LAX, given that the press conference is being held there, and that’s what all the buzz has been about

What we don’t know, however, is:

What plane will American fly to Australia?

Presumably American could use a Boeing 777-200, Boeing 777-300, or Boeing 787. Keep in mind this will be part of a joint venture, which means there’s revenue sharing with Qantas on a per seat basis. As a result, if they operate a smaller plane they’ll get a smaller share of the revenue, while if they operate a bigger plane they’ll get a bigger share of the revenue.

American-777

On one hand you’d think they’d operate a Boeing 777-300ER, which is sort of the flagship aircraft of their fleet. On the other hand, they only have a few of these left on order, so I don’t necessarily think that’s a given.

Depending on the specific route, I could see American operating a 787, or perhaps even a 777-200, given that those are being refurbished and having a lot of additional seats added.

Keep in mind that both Delta and United fly 777-200s between Los Angeles and Sydney, as the route does have quite a bit of capacity nowadays.

Where in Australia will American fly to?

Now, when I first heard rumors of new transpacific flying for American, my first thought was that they’d announce flights to Auckland, New Zealand. Qantas cut the route a long time ago, and Air New Zealand more or less has a monopoly on it. And as part of a joint venture with Qantas, it seems like it could do well.

Auckland-1

But it seems like that’s not happening, based on the kangaroo picture.

The obvious choice would be Sydney. After all, if you’re going to fly to just one place in Australia, Sydney seems like a logical choice. But it could also be Melbourne or Brisbane, I suppose.

Possible-AA-Routes

Bottom line

Regardless of which city in Australia American chooses to fly to, I’m really excited about this. While there are alliances and joint ventures, very rarely is there true “metal neutrality.” In other words, as an American flyer I’d still rather take American over Qantas, given that I can use my systemwide upgrades on those flights.

Qantas-First-Lounge-Sydney-60

It’s great to see American truly transform into a global airline beyond Latin America. Last year they added service to Hong Kong. If they add service to Sydney now, they’ll fly to all my favorite major cities in the world.

Which route do you think American is going to announce, and which aircraft will they use?

You only have a few hours to put in your guess before the big announcement!

(Tip of the hat to View from the Wing)

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Jean | Holy Smithereens Guest

This is wonderful news! We definitely need more trans-pacific options in Australia. I wonder if this is related to Qantas now resuming flights to San Francisco? (whereas in the last 2-3 years the LAX-SFO leg has always been operated by AA, giving United the monopoly on SYD-SFO) Nevertheless both are good news! :)

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Josh Guest

Not sure how the math in this post works. Why would AA get less percentage of revenue of they operate an aircraft with fewer seats? I think what you meant is that the revenue percentage is the same regardless of aircraft, but total revenue would be less with the 787 b/c there are less seats to sell.

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Matt Guest

LAX to SYD starts December 17, subject to regulatory approvals. Operated with 777-300 3 class. Qantas to also start SYD to SFO in December.

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Jim New Member

Woohoo, three-class 77W service LAX to SYD on American and 747 service SFO to SYD on Qantas!! As a West Coast kid who's always wanted to visit Australia, I'm stoked about the expanded service–Lucky, do you think this will result in increased premium cabin award availability across the Pacific on either airline? Or will it remain challenging to find award seats on non-stop flights West Coast to Australia with oneworld?

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Tom Member

Akl, not all

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