I Can't Decide Whet...
 

I Can't Decide Whether To Redeem Points Or A Free Night Award

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(@lucky)
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Those of us in the points world are usually pretty good at maximizing value. The issue is that sometimes figuring out what’s the best value isn’t so straightforward. I figured I’d share a redemption decision I’m struggling with, both because I’m curious to hear what OMAAT readers think, and because maybe some may find my…

Continue reading: I Can’t Decide Whether To Redeem Points Or A Free Night Award

Share your questions, experiences, and thoughts below.


44 Replies
44 Replies
 Mike
(@Mike)
Joined: 8 years ago

Posts: 19

Stay at the over the top LXR hotel in Dubai and tell us what you think haha


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 DM
(@DM)
Joined: 6 years ago

Posts: 59

I try to stay 5 nights at any Marriott or Hilton Hotel to maximize the points redemption and use the 5th night free benefit (I usually travel with a young family, so moving hotels is really inconvenient). As a result, for me, those 80k points are actually 100k and hence I’d use the certificate.

Keep in mind a few other things -

1. The certificates are good only for standard rooms while points can be used even for premium room reward, so I value 80k points more than the certificates.
2. Based on your travel patterns (mostly stays at Hyatt or Marriott luxury hotels) and the kind of hotels you have been reviewing lately (Four Seasons, etc.), I’d think you’ll have very few luxury Hilton properties to stay at during the year to burn these 4 certificates

There is no right or wrong answer to this (as you already know), so the best approach would be take the instrument that’s expiring sooner out of equation (as long as redemption value is reasonable of course!)


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 DM
(@DM)
Joined: 6 years ago

Posts: 59

Or take the AA direct flight to Anguilla (the only direct flight to the island from US) from Miami and redeem these certs ar Zemi! It’s an incredible property!


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 Mike
(@Mike)
Joined: 8 years ago

Posts: 19

Actually, maybe redeem at the WA Financial Centre one. You’re going to be on beaches in the Maldives so why not get a nice taste of urban life beforehand. Not many ppl have reviewed that one so it’s more unique


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 JB
(@JB)
Joined: 8 years ago

Posts: 845

Just curious, have you reviewed the Grand Hyatt Dubai before? (It's a very short drive from DXB)


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(@David)
Joined: 11 years ago

Posts: 32

Use the certificates. They expire and while you might get better value elsewhere, unless you have plans now, best to use the certs before they expire.


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(@Micah)
Joined: 9 years ago

Posts: 57

Would like to see your review on the St Regis at the Palm!


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Diamond
(@morgan-2)
Joined: 5 years ago

Member
Posts: 294

Use the certificates


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(@Lukas)
Joined: 11 years ago

Posts: 390

Certificate.


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(@Eskimo)
Joined: 9 years ago

Posts: 6307

You are a travel blogger, not a full-time employee with limited or fixed day off.

The answer is very simple. Redeem the points right now. Book your next trip somewhere else to redeem those 95k-150k points. Review those properties.

There might be a very limited number of 150k properties but I'm sure there is more than enough 95k places to go for the next few years.

Could be as simple as treat your mom with some 95k+ stay around FL.

Looking forward to all those reviews.


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 EJ
(@EJ)
Joined: 10 years ago

Posts: 22

Letting a certificate that valuable expire would be the worst thing to do. You never know what the rest of this year will bring. Just use the certificate and save your points!


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(@Klaus)
Joined: 6 years ago

Posts: 162

Hello Ben,
Do not use the certificates. Then you have a good reason to plan your next travel. It’s not like you have daytime job or so


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 Euro
Diamond
(@euro)
Joined: 5 years ago

Member
Posts: 242

I would say either at this Waldorf you are looking at or the one in downtown Dubai, the Financial Center one, or the LXR (I am not recommending the Curio V-formerly-known-as-W hotel since you said you were not a fan of W Hotels), and use the certificate.

Like several others have said, it is the "what chance will you have of getting an even MORE valuable redemption." Plus even if theoretically that "MORE valuable" redemption is possible, will that hotel have standard room availability or will Hilton either play games or have others already gobbled up the availability?

Otherwise, not a Hilton, but if I were to ask for a hotel review... what about the new St Regis? Otherwise I'm not sure how far along the renovations are with the Park Hyatt.


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 AA70
Diamond
(@aa70)
Joined: 5 years ago

Member
Posts: 0

I typically use certificates if the points value the certificate gets me is close to the points cost of night. Ex- I used 2 Marriott 35K certificates for a stay in Flagstaff that was going for 33K a night or $290 in cash. Still getting outsized value.

However I used points for a stay at the Aloft SEA going for 25K when booked or $210 in cash.


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(@D3kingg)
Joined: 9 years ago

Posts: 1721

I’d rather see a Waldorf Astoria Dubai Business District review which is also 80,000 pts per night. I’m going to Dubai in the fall and staying at Conrad Dubai for 55,000 pts per night. Never stayed at a Conrad or Waldorf Astoria before but I’m thinking about switching to the Waldorf Astoria .
I can see you wanting to stay at the Waldorf Astoria Palm Jumeriah Beach as a Floridian.
Hopefully by July I will be out of AMEX bonus jail and be able to pick up the AMEX Hilton Aspire card. I am closing my AMEX Gold in August.


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(@Vinny)
Joined: 6 years ago

Posts: 20

Andaz palm?


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 JP
(@JP)
Joined: 9 years ago

Posts: 4

I'm with Vinny. Andaz review would be great as Hyatt globalist


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(@D3kingg)
Joined: 9 years ago

Posts: 1721

@EURO

Is Conrad Dubai good ? I hear Waldorf Astoria is much better.


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(@Jason)
Joined: 12 years ago

Posts: 1336

I've stayed at the Conrad Dubai a few times and really really loved it. Admittedly it's been a few years, but rooms are comfortable, breakfast and other food good, pool scene is great (if you have time) and the club floor / lounge is wonderful. Decent location near downtown. I really liked the hotel.


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 Euro
Diamond
(@euro)
Joined: 5 years ago

Member
Posts: 242

Have not stayed at it before (It'll be my first time to Dubai next month) but have heard that a long time ago it was not very good but has been improving over the last few years to be pretty good.

Waldorf Astoria I hope is a lot better, the price is much higher (cash and points), and I think is a lot newer.


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(@jimmys-travel-report-2)
Joined: 5 years ago

Member
Posts: 299

Second this request. I’m curious how the St. Regis stacks up.


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 ICD
(@ICD)
Joined: 4 years ago

Posts: 1

Had this dilemma with a one night stay at a WA in March. 80k points or a free night cert that expires June 30. What if I want to go to a 120k property and I’m burning the free night at an 80k? Deciding factor, in addition to the impending expiry, was the 5th night free on points. Save the points for 5 night stay; use the cert for a one night. Did I make the right call?


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(@Peter)
Joined: 4 years ago

Posts: 3

I stayed at the Waldorf Palm last fall.
The Pearl Lounge is offered at check in for 450 AED per day per room. It is definitely worth it. I would.
The Conrad used to be my favorite hotel, but the service gets worse every year.
Used the coupons


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(@Tammy Lau)
Joined: 8 years ago

Posts: 2

I stay at waldorf astoria the palm last September since I have $250 Hilton credit to burn. The paid rate at that time was around $250!!! However, I absolutely regretted staying there as it's too far out from ANYTHING. The property itself is nothing special , very standard. there's basically nothing to do there ( although I only stay for one night) and the beach didnt face those cool dubai building like five palm Jumeriah . The club lounge trust me, it's nothing special!. I should have stay at hilton Jumeriah beach . It's super close to blue water bay and the walk to there is so beautiful. Or I should have stay at downtown.


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(@Tammy Lau)
Joined: 7 years ago

Posts: 5

Yep, Club lounge is not worth it! Glad they let me in just to have look. I will never pay to get club access at WA the palm. there's tons of much much better hotels in Dubai.


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 Clem
(@clem)
Joined: 5 years ago

Member
Posts: 453

I would absolutely redeem the free night certs. It can be hard enough to find good value, and in this instance it is still good value. Yes you could technically get more out of it but we also still don't know what the COVID and travel conditions will be by the end of 2022, so my philosophy is to use up all my free night certs as soon as I can as long as the value is there.


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(@John Ryan)
Joined: 6 years ago

Posts: 30

I’d say either do the Waldorf with points, the Andaz on the palm, the Hyatt centric, or the Habtoor palace. They’re all good and new, so you’d be one of the first people to review it.


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 NK3
Diamond
(@nk3)
Joined: 4 years ago

Member
Posts: 116

Not really interested in this hotel. But I can think of other luxury/upscale properties to use your certs that I would be more interested in:
-Zemi Beach House
-Conrad Punta Mita
-Roku Kyoto LXR (if Japan ever opens up)


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(@Golfball)
Joined: 7 years ago

Posts: 5

Certificate. Do it!!


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 Levi
Diamond
(@levi-2)
Joined: 5 years ago

Member
Posts: 221

To me, the rough calculus should be:

What's the expected highest point value per night for stay that I could use the cert on before it expires (so standard room and a stay of not-5 nights for Hilton (and weekends in the future, but unless and until the corporate/leisure balance returns to 2019, Hilton will probably allow certs to be redeemed on weekdays) and within point bounds for other programs, etc.)? By using the cert now, you're saving the amount of points for the current redemption but effectively spending the difference between the answer to the previous question and the points for the current redemption.

So that implies that if the points rate is less than half of that anticipated maximum, definitely don't use the cert and if it's above that, then using the cert is absolutely defensible.

This suggests that if you have a choice between cert and more than 75k points, use the cert. But if your max would be 95k, then a 50k bird in the hand wins.


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Diamond
(@steffl)
Joined: 5 years ago

Member
Posts: 311

use your certificate!
the hotel is nice, a bit aged and not as good as it was pre Covid . . . and the beach stuff really somehow used up by now (no frozen fruits durung the day, no free ice cream, but still NICE beach service and very nice rooms as well as Toiletries are by Salvatore Ferragamo in the bathroom, showers and even the bedets . . .very nice!
NO CNN on TV, only BBC as News staion but teh Spas is nice, the Breakfast Buffet with all kinds of coffees and teas . . . UNBEATABLE even iwth a separate Pork section!!
The Hotel is NOT as full as in the past years, due to the missing mass of Russian Guests, but still well booked and worth the money for the view and the location.
Just returned last week again after my 3rd time there, used also my Certificates (3 of them) well invested i thought, as you pay NO taxes no service charge and for the official rates theer, it's an OK convertion, depending when you wanna go, i was there at HIGH season and just starting Ramadan . . . it was perfect for the rate that the STANDARD room would have cost. (USD875,-/night) upgrade was given als Diamond to a Skyline View Room, which was not really Skyline view, but OK!
Value with expiring certificates, well done!
DO IT! (plus, it sounds like you're trying to stay more then 3 night, so don't forget, next year they are only good agaihn for Fri, Sat, Sun NIGHTS!!) 😉
The view from teh Beach and over to the Atlantis Hotel when the Sun sets, NO other hotel has that luxury!!! Anantara next door, totally overpriced and not the same service, Rixos All Inclusive . . . not your thing! (... and BOTH non points hotels!)


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(@WNichols)
Joined: 4 years ago

Posts: 1

Stayed at the Conrad Dubai in November. The hotel is great, the service is consistent, the rooms are very nice, and the food is excellent. It is an easy drive from the airport, and close to the train station.


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 Rico
Diamond
(@rico)
Joined: 5 years ago

Member
Posts: 310

As someone who just had a Hyatt cert expire (I thought I'd get the points, but that ended last year) and is about to have an IHG cert expire in a couple weeks (also points no longer being offered for Chase night from 2020), I say use the cert.

I'm sick about the Hyatt night since I used another Hyatt cert last month and had I known the 10K point courtesy ended I would have stayed another night.


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 Pags
(@Pags)
Joined: 4 years ago

Posts: 1

Use the points. They can always devalue the points where as the certs as of now do not get devalued. If they change from 80 to 100k you can still use the certs there is no cap


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 Kyle
(@Kyle)
Joined: 11 years ago

Posts: 76

Need to review Mango Beach House - Seychelles.


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Diamond
(@mark-p-2)
Joined: 5 years ago

Member
Posts: 119

The only reason to use points at this property instead of certs is if you wanted to stay 5 nights and get the 5th night free. Otherwise, I'd consider it a great use of certs.


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(@Craig)
Joined: 13 years ago

Posts: 71

Due to COVID and changes to my usual travel patterns, I am sitting on 4 certificates that will expire between now and the end of August (2 marriott; 2 Hilton). I'm probably going to use them close to home so they don't go to waste (don't want to spend money on a trip just to use them).
Given my situation, I will be sure to use my certificates whenever I can going forward.


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 Will
(@Will)
Joined: 4 years ago

Posts: 13

Ben, you should choose the Waldorf Astoria DIFC instead! Way better experience overall


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 Levi
Diamond
(@levi-2)
Joined: 5 years ago

Member
Posts: 221

If you don't have a great idea of where you might be staying (and thus the point values) before the certificate expires, then this decision is roughly analogous to the Secretary problem in decision theory (see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Secretary_problem), assuming that you have a rough idea of how many certificate-possible nights you will have before the certificate expires. From this perspective the current best known solution is to not use the certificate for the first 37% of possible nights, but track the point values of those stays. Then after the 37%, use the certificate for the first night which has a greater point value than the maximum in the 37% (and if you expect a night to be the last night you could use the certificate, then use it then). So if you expect to have 15 nights where you could use the certificate, don't use the certificate until at least the 6th night and you maximize the chance of (effectively) getting the most free points from the certificate.


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 Rasm
(@Rasm)
Joined: 7 years ago

Posts: 6

I would vote for a review of the WA DIFC instead


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(@beachfan)
Joined: 16 years ago

Posts: 912

I would do the cert - unless you never stay 5 nights to get the 5th night free, or you know you will be staying at a 150k point place for less than 5 nights.


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 John
(@John)
Joined: 6 years ago

Posts: 45

A bird in the hand ….. use the certs


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(@iamhere)
Joined: 10 years ago

Posts: 1891

I think this decision is simple. As the certificate expires this year are you likely to use it for a points redemption that is more expensive (in points). If not, then use the certificate. If so, then don't. However, if you don't and then discover that you should have used it because you will not then that's not a good position to be in.


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(@D3kingg)
Joined: 9 years ago

Posts: 1721

@Rasm

I second that. But Ben is going to stay at the Jumeriah Beach Waldorf Astoria it’s obvious besides they’re continuing onto Maldives.


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