LOL, “economic gravity is going to eventually win.” That's how I feel about a lot of companies (how is Tesla still alive?). But the market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent, to paraphrase another economist.
That said, I think AA strengthens ORD. If they were to be snapped out of existence, it would take UA a long time to fill 50% of the gap, and they would never get to 100%.
This is getting exhausting. Kirby is a brilliant leader and has done a great job at United but the obsession with talking about American’s failures is repetitive and frankly annoying.
Also, in terms of the consumer benefit, I watched clips of his interview with Crains and he's not really talking about prices as directly per se.
The way he framed it was that today, American and United have a lot of replicated catchment area flights for ORD (e.g., Milwaukee, Madison, Green Bay, Bloomington, etc.). Because they are both competing in this market, they have to duplicate capacity in those places (and often with smaller planes to maintain economics, which takes up flight slots).
Whereas if AA wasn't a major competitor, United could up-guage those flights, reduce frequencies, and then fly other new routes, and more new international routes, with the newly available flight slots / capacity. Also those regional routes would be on nicer / bigger planes.
Now, I'm not saying I agree with this argument! But I think he's more so saying consumers would benefit from more routes, bigger planes, not that they would benefit from lower prices or schedule flexibility or anything like that...
Kirby's arrogance will be his downfall.
And the future looks a heck of a lot brighter for the DFW area than it looks for the Chicagoland area.
I hope AA is starting to gets it act together, and if so the easy wins for Kirby are over.
Considering what a disaster Newark is, a United O'Hare quasi-monopoly would be even worse. Kirby and United need their wings klipped. I am through flying them.
We need American Airlines out of the way so Delta and United can lead.
"What choice does American really have? [It] needs a hub in the Midwest." Welp, speaking as a St. Louis resident, the schadenfreude here is delicious.
As an Expat living in a foreign country, the only other big mid west city alongside Chicago that most people in Britain seem to know of is Detroit. In rural Denmark both Minneapolis and St. Louis are much better known than in the UK, not sure why.