Major: Air Canada & Air Transat Call Off Merger

Here’s some major airline news out of Canada.

Air Canada’s Air Transat acquisition called off

It has today been announced that Air Canada and Air Transat have mutually agreed to terminate their acquisition agreement.

It was first announced in June 2019 that Air Canada would acquire Air Transat for $520 million. However, the deal was amended significantly in October 2020 as a result of the coronavirus pandemic, and Air Canada slashed the purchase price by 72%, to $190 million.

I guess the timing worked out well for Air Canada in that regard. The two airlines were having issues with regulatory approval, so since the acquisition hadn’t been finalized, it could still be renegotiated.

The acquisition was conditional on the approval of various regulatory authorities, including the European Commission. It has now been determined that the European Commission won’t approve the acquisition with current terms. Air Canada feels that making further concessions would “significantly compromise” the carrier’s ability to compete internationally, so the deal is no longer worth it for Canada’s largest airline.

With this deal being called off, Air Canada is paying Air Transat a $12.5 million termination fee.

Air Canada will no longer be acquiring Air Transat

What does this mean for the future of Air Transat?

It goes without saying that the airline industry has changed significantly in the past year, and the road to recovery for both airlines will be long (especially with there being no end in sight for Canada’s travel restrictions). I think the big question now is what happens to Air Transat, given that the airline has spent the past year expecting that it would be acquired by Air Canada.

Will Air Transat get additional investments and survive as an independent airline? Could WestJet swoop in and try to acquire Air Transat? I think it’s too early to know how this is going to play out, but it sure is going to be interesting to watch.

Only time will tell what the future holds for Air Transat

Bottom line

Air Canada’s acquisition of Air Transat has been called off. Ironically it’s not because of any issues that Canadian regulators had, but rather because of concerns of the European Commission. On the surface it sure seems like European regulators may have gone a bit far here, especially when you consider the dire state of the airline industry at the moment.

Only time will tell if Air Transat remains independent, or if the airline now becomes a takeover target for WestJet, or maybe another airline.

What do you make of the Air Canada & Air Transat deal being called off?

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roger Guest

Would love to see an Investment Group step In and fund the turnaround of airTransat. Never thought a merger/acquisition by AirCanada was a good idea by reducing competition because we witnessed what happened when Canadian was absorbed by AC. There is a place for AT in the market and they need to be aligned with a competitive Alliance (ONEWORLD would be the Best) to give them a boost from outside of Canada. Even a Westjet/AT tie up would be better but Canadian Authorities need to keep Delta out of meddling in the business because everyone knows They are only interested in propping up Delta. A blended Westjet/AT could be a competitive force to counter a monopolistic AC but Westjet needs to become more of a global airline to compete and distance themselves from their LCC image.

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FifthDim Guest

Thanks to Europe another Canadian business cartelization attempt failed. I wish Europeans had also a say in the Telecom oligopoly.

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The nice Paul Diamond

@Brian I suspect the airlines hope to continue to use EU airspace. To do that, they need a licence (just as furrin’ airlines have to apply to the US DoT for a licence before they can serve US airports). You should be grateful to the EU for providing some passenger protection when the airline’s national regulator hasn’t bothered (though given Canada’s support for Air Canada’s theft of passenger fares during Covid, it is unsurprising that they prioritise airlines’ business interests way before the interests of the poor customers).

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Brian Guest

What would the European Commission have to do with a Canadian airline?

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Jack Guest

DenB® - "WS has no meaningful premium cabin in 95% of their flights, no meaningful lounge experience at any fare level." Their new narrowbody premium cabin (currently on the MAX and being retrofitted throughout the fleet in coming years iirc) is competitive with legacy carriers throughout North America. Same with their dreamliners. Yes much of their fleet is still lacking, but they're working on it. Lounges are the same deal (lacking but working on it) but I consider their new Elevation Lounge to be the best airline-operated domestic lounge in North America, and only behind Centurion or international F/J lounges overall. And my understanding is they're planning more in the future at other airports like YYZ YVR etc. Westjet is moving to a full service model, if they aren't already. Modern lounges, modern premium seats, and uncompetitive prices.

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