Spirit Airlines Issues Dire Warning About Financials, Survival Prospects

In a sad development that should surprise no one, Spirit Airlines management has raised concerns about the company’s ability to continue operating…

“Substantial doubt” about Spirit’s ability to continue operating

Pre-pandemic, Spirit was one of the best margin airlines in the industry. During the pandemic, the industry changed — labor costs went up, and consumer preferences evolved, in favor of premium and long haul travel. Most of the industry profits also come from loyalty programs, which limits the viability of smaller carriers.

Then we saw JetBlue try to acquire Spirit, in order to allow JetBlue to be more of a national competitor. However, that deal was blocked by regulators, who argued it was anti-competitive. We eventually saw Spirit file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, which was a very quick process.

While Chapter 11 bankruptcy helped Spirit with its immediate debt, it didn’t change the fact that the airline was hemorrhaging money, and had terrible operational losses. As I’ve covered several times before, the airline is burning through cash, and that can only be sustained for so long. The company has now seemingly confirmed that.

Spirit is trying to decrease costs and increase revenue however it can, ranging from introducing more premium seating, to furloughing pilots, to selling aircraft and leasing them back. Now the company has yet another issue.

Spirit is in discussions with representatives of its credit card processor, which has requested additional collateral to renew its credit card processing agreement, expiring on December 31, 2025. The level of collateral required to be posted “could result in a material reduction of unrestricted cash.”

That brings us to the company’s warning — “because of the uncertainty of successfully completing the initiatives to comply with the minimum liquidity covenants and of the outcome of discussions with Company stakeholders, management has concluded there is substantial doubt as to the Company’s ability to continue as a going concern within 12 months from the date these financial statements are issued.”

It’s also worth noting that cash and cash equivalents at the airline have declined to $407.5 million, reflecting how quickly the airline has been burning through money. That’s not surprising, because unfortunately Spirit’s margins have worsened, rather than improved, in recent times.

Spirit Airlines has issued a warning about its prospects

There’s nothing surprising here… what can we learn?

I have huge respect for the impact Spirit has had on the industry. It’s a great company that often unfairly gets a bad rap. Unfortunately math is math, and the company’s business model just doesn’t work anymore.

Quite honestly, I really don’t understand what Spirit management has been thinking for the past several years (both before and after bankruptcy), as I haven’t actually seen a true “turnaround plan” attempt. The only turnaround I’ve seen basically consisted of eliminating fees and becoming a more inclusive carrier, but that wasn’t a solution either, and only worsened the company’s margins.

Next, if Spirit does unfortunately go out of business, I’m curious what that means for the industry. Presumably it would be good news for Frontier and JetBlue — it would strengthen JetBlue’s position in Fort Lauderdale, and it would give Frontier a bit more power among the ultra low cost carriers.

Lastly, I really think think the whole Spirit situation is something that regulators should learn from. Keep in mind how the Department of Justice sued to block JetBlue’s takeover of Spirit. While JetBlue was way overpaying for the deal, I think there was huge merit to it in general. We need more “national competitors” that can take on the “big four,” and that would’ve accomplished exactly that. But a judge ruled that takeover violated the Clayton Act, and as he concluded:

Spirit is a small airline. But there are those who love it. To those dedicated customers of Spirit, this one’s for you. Why? Because the Clayton Act, a 109-year-old statute requires this result –- a statute that continues to deliver for the American people.

That’s not looking so good anymore, is it? My point is to say that when we talk about consolidation in the airline industry, it needs to be based in reality, and take into account the industry’s challenging economics. The logic can’t be “we demand Spirit continue operating independently at a negative 20% margin!”

I can’t say I’m surprised to see what’s going on

Bottom line

Spirit Airlines has warned that its credit card processor is requesting more collateral to renew its contract beyond 2025, given the carrier’s financial situation. The company has stated that “there is substantial doubt” as to its ability to continue operating, as it continues to burn through cash.

This shouldn’t come as a surprise, since we’ve known how much money Spirit has been losing, and the situation has only become worse. I think far too many people dismiss the impossible reality that so many smaller US carriers are finding themselves in. Of course we all want low fares, but airlines can only lose money for so long before the other shoe drops…

What do you make of this Spirit situation?

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Carol the travel junkie Guest

Oh great... I just booked a January flight. I've also spent HOURS trying to get my Free Spirit account corrected and keep running into brick walls. At least I know there's a new CEO and I'll send him copies of my chat transcripts. My home airport is DTW.

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Pete Guest

It’s possible that Spirit might be in a better position had they been operating CFM engines instead of the P&W horrors that have caused a significant proportion of their fleet to be grounded for an intolerably long time. It’s also possible that a merger with JetBlue would have been advantageous. This is, however, the airline business, and strange voodoo always seems to play a part in the financial success or otherwise of any given carrier. Good luck, Spirit. You’re go’n need it.

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D3SWI33 Guest

Spirit is based in one of the countries wealthiest states. Why not just hit up the governor of FL for a govt bailout ?

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iamhere Guest

I think when legacy carriers introduced basic fares that included nothing similar to that of the so called low cost carriers this affected the business model of the low cost carrier, unless the low cost carrier flies to certain satelite airports that are more convenient.

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Capt Buck Lucky Guest

The DOJ blocking JetBlue's *ACQUISITION* of Spirit airlines was a bad call and a gross miscarriage of justice. Bad law plain and simple. There is a popular misconception among the public that the purpose of antitrust law is to guarantee low prices, this is not true. Traditional antitrust law, meaning statutory law passed by Congress, Clayton, Sherman, Robison-Patman etc. exist only to preserve competition in the marketplace. Low prices are not part of the antitrust mandate. Low prices were correctly viewed by the progressive-populists who wrote antitrust law as a short term marketing strategy, not a fixed quantity. No Capitalist ever wants to sell something for less if they can charge more. What is an acceptable level of competition/concentration is determined by the existing status quo the government has permitted. Traditional antitrust law only concerns itself with price in instances of "predatory pricing" (selling below cost with the aim of driving smaller/weaker competitor out of business) The source of the public's understandable antitrust price confusion is the right-wing, big-business, pro-merger ideology which has crept into antitrust through precedent to become de facto law, known as the "Consumer Welfare Principle". This doctrine basically says low prices are good and antitrust law be damned as long as prices come down. This has been the guiding principle of antitrust since the time of Regan/Bork. Johnathan Kanter auditioned for the job of DOJ Antitrust by vowing to end the reign of the Consumer Welfare Principle, whom critics blamed for a 40+ year wave of consolidations and surging monopoly power. Instead Kanter and the DOJ enshrined the concept even deeper with the cynical victory-at-all-cost, wacky consumer-welfare in reverse arguments against B6-NK. Concerning the point of competition, Judge Young himself stated: "...the Defendant Airlines provide strong evidence that the combined, post-merger airline would be procompetitive and result in substantial benefits for consumers" (pg 101) "The Defendant Airlines have demonstrated that an expansion of all aspects of JetBlue’s business -- including network, fleet, and loyalty program -- would allow for more vigorous competition with the Big Four, which carry most passengers in the country. The size of an airline, the number of routes it serves, the number of options it offers to consumers -- all of these aspects add to an airline’s relevance to consumers, and were JetBlue to become more relevant, it would immediately place more pressure on its greatest competitors, the Big Four. This pressure would benefit consumers. The Defendant Airlines have also demonstrated that the product JetBlue offers, though more expensive on average, is higher quality, and provides consumers with an enhanced flying experience. Were JetBlue to expand via the proposed acquisition, not only would that product become more widely available to more consumers, but the increased revenue available could also allow JetBlue to innovate further and create an even stronger customer experience. Overall, the Defendant Airlines have successfully met their relatively low burden to rebut the Government’s prima facie case." (pg 102/103) Why this judge ruled against this merger is beyond me unless he was bribed. As Spirit is proving in real time, what can't go on forever won't. A mouse can't win a bleeding contest with an elephant (Delta) and so it will be for Jet Blue if the government doesn't allow a merger/acquisition with a stronger party. It's in the best interest of the public if a *least bad* partner is selected from a pool of suitors instead of an unruly bankruptcy where employees and consumers are harmed and Delta gets an iron-clad monopolist lock on JFK and BOS. I see this as worst case for all except Delta executives.

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