Delta Orders Up To 60 Boeing 787-10s, As Key Part Of Long Haul Fleet Renewal

Several months back, there were rumors that Delta Air Lines would place a Boeing 787 order, a major departure from the carrier’s current all-Airbus wide body fleet renewal plan. There’s now a major update, as the order is official…

Delta places a big Boeing wide body aircraft order

Delta has placed an order for up to 60 Boeing 787 Dreamliners. This includes a firm order for 30 787-10s, plus options for an additional 30 of these planes. The major catch here is that these planes will only be delivered as of 2031, so it’ll be at least five years until the first of these aircraft joins the fleet.

For context, the 787-10 is the largest variant of the Dreamliner. While it has the least range of any Dreamliner variant, the per-seat economics are great, given how it’s “stretched.” Delta claims that it will use these planes to operate flights across the Atlantic, as well as to South America.

Delta has ordered the Boeing 787-10 Dreamliner

Here’s how Delta CEO Ed Bastian describes this order:

“Delta is building the fleet for the future, enhancing the customer experience, driving operational improvements and providing steady replacements for less efficient, older aircraft in the decade to come. Most importantly, these aircraft will be operated by the best aviation professionals in the industry, providing Delta’s welcoming, elevated and caring service to travelers worldwide.”

Up until this point, Delta’s wide body fleet renewal has just been focused on two aircraft types:

  • Delta’s flagship aircraft is the Airbus A350, with 40 A350-900s currently in the fleet (and four more more on order), plus 20 A350-1000s on order; these planes are used primarily for transpacific and other ultra long haul flying
  • Delta’s secondary long haul aircraft is the Airbus A330-900neo, with 39 in the fleet, and no more on order; these planes are used primarily for transatlantic flying

Beyond that, there are the more outdated aircraft that Delta will have to replace over time:

  • Delta operates 42 A330ceos, with 11 A330-200s and 31 A330-300s; these planes are an average of 16-20 years old, which is downright young by Delta standards, and they’re likely here to stay for some time
  • Delta operates 59 Boeing 767s, with 38 767-300ERs and 21 767-400ERs; these planes are an average of 25-30 years old, and the 767-300ERs are expected to be withdrawn from international operations by the end of the decade, give or take
Delta has been focused on Airbus jets for fleet renewal

My take on Delta placing a Boeing wide body aircraft order

I don’t think this aircraft order from Delta should come as much of a surprise. Delta has over 100 “last generation” wide body jets, and the airline needed a plan to eventually replace the 767-300ERs, A330-200s, 767-400ERs, and A330-300s (probably in that order — it seems the A330-300s are here to stay, as Delta is planning new cabins for these jets). With that in mind, a few thoughts:

  • Unlike American and United, Delta hasn’t ordered the A321XLR (admittedly not a wide body, but it is a long haul aircraft); it seems executives at the carrier aren’t crazy about the plane, but as Delta increasingly upgauges long haul aircraft, there are some markets where the economics may become more challenging
  • The 787-10 has fantastic economics; it’s a bit bigger than the A330-900neo, while still being able to operate Delta’s entire Europe and South America network
  • Focusing on three different kinds of long haul aircraft is more of a diversified strategy than what you’ll find at American and United, but that’s not necessarily a bad thing, given that the scale of the fleets we’re talking about
  • Eventually, Delta’s smallest long haul aircraft may be the A330-900neo, with 281 seats, and that’s 30%+ more seats than you’ll find on the 767-300ER, with 211-216 seats
  • 2031 is still a long time from now, so we’ll have to be patient for these planes; I guess that also confirms that the 767-300ERs will keep flying until at least that point… bleh!

The 787-10 seems like a good fit for Delta, given the number of planes that Delta will eventually need to replace. It’s quite a different strategy than you’ll find at United, where the airline has plans for an eventual fleet of 200+ Dreamliners. For that matter, there are also rumors of American eventually placing a 787-10 order, to eventually replace older 777s.

The Boeing 787-10 has great economics

Bottom line

Delta has just placed a Boeing 787-10 order, with a firm order for 30 Dreamliners, and options for 30 more. The planes are expected to be delivered as of 2031, so we’re going to have to be really patient.

While Delta has been a loyal Airbus wide body customer in recent years, it’s logical enough that the airline may eventually want to diversity from the A330neo and A350. The 787-10 seems like a good fit for Delta, given its excellent per-seat economics, making it a great jet for Europe and South America flying.

I think the only questionable thing is that Delta’s smallest long haul aircraft will eventually be the A330neo, which has 30%+ more seats than the current smallest long haul aircraft, the 767. That might make some markets challenging.

What do you make of Delta’s Boeing 787-10 order?

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Franz Guest

Does these deliveries feature the IGW specs?

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Timo Diamond

DL has long had the advantage of more cash on hand by extending the lives of their fleet. I don't know the financing details of this Boeing order but I do hope that DL can maintain its healthy balance sheet. AA over-extended itself with their massive orders in the mid 2010s. And UA followed suit. Let's hope DL doesn't get caught in any debt spiral. Way too many US businesses from small to large do this. I doubt DL will trigger the trip wire but... the airline industry ain't known for stability.

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This comes to mind Guest

Here's what puzzles me about DL's plans. They are losing the 753 and have the 321 now, and the Max10 later, in that "almost 200" seat category. But consider these planes and (seats) ordered by my guess of time remaining: 763 (211-6) 753 (234) 764 (238) 332 (223) Pull them from the fleet, they have no plane in the 200-275 seat range. The have not ordered the only one of the above that still exists (in the 338 form). The 35M and 78M are certainly at >300 seats. This means, if DL lives up to their desire to fly only widebodies to Europe, will the smallest be 275 seats?

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rebel Diamond

UA: 1,070 aircraft, (230 WB), 185 WB/483 NB on order (15.5 average fleet age) AA: 1,013 aircraft, (137 WB), 19 WB/268 NB on order (14.1 average fleet age) DL: 988 aircraft, (180 WB), 54 WB/235 NB on order (14.9 average fleet age)

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rebel Diamond

NickW, "This isn’t just about flying planes; By pushing deliveries to 2031, Delta is perfectly timing the retirement of the 767-400ER fleet right as they hit their max cycle limits, maximizing the CASM-ex fuel efficiency of those paid-off assets for another five years." I agree, this is about not having enough planes to fly. NickW, "United is taking 787-10s now and flying them heavy on edge-of-envelope routes out of SFO, taking a payload penalty." You are confused. Maybe you are thinking about the DL A330s. UA's 787-10s are infinitely more capable and not taking any payload penalties like the A330s. And you need to do the math on DL's deliveries vs retirements. Kirby nailed it ordering 150/50 787s and 500+ NB aircraft. UA is set and DL is behind the eight ball. NickW, "While other carriers are aggressively cap-ex spending on frames they can’t even staff" What? Confused indeed.

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